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Evansville Aces vs Arkansas Razorbacks Odds and Prediction

The Evansville Aces visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks. Action begins at 9:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Dec. 8 and can be seen on SEC and ES3.

The Razorbacks are hoping for a better outcome after their 88-85 loss to Wake Forest on Friday. Manuale Watkins had a good outing, recording 14 points, four rebounds, and three assists for Arkansas. The Aces, meanwhile, are coming off an 85-81 win over Murray State on Saturday. Egidijus Mockevicius played well and claimed his sixth double-double of the season, posting 22 points and 12 rebounds.

Arkansas is a slight one-point favorite at home against Evansville. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at 158 points. The Razorbacks have gone 3-4 Straight Up (SU) and 1-3 Against The Spread (ATS). The Razorbacks are an exceptional shooting team from three-point range with a .396 three-point field goal percentage, one of the highest marks in Division I. Arkansas has the 17th-most assists in Division I, averaging 18.4 per game.

On the other side, the Aces have 7-1 SU and 2-3-1 ATS records. The Aces convert their shots at a high percentage, ranking fourth in the country at .532. Defenses have a tough time accounting for every player when up against the Aces, who are known for distributing the ball with 22.4 assists per game. One advantage for the Aces could be Arkansas’s high fouls per game average of 22.9.

Arkansas and Evansville have not played one another in a regular season matchup in recent years.

Predictions: SU Winner – Ark, ATS Winner – Ark, O/U – Over

Notes

Arkansas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.

Arkansas is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home.

The Arkansas Razorbacks rank 46th for their offensive rating of 115.7. The Evansville Aces have a defensive rating of 94.7 (ranked 71st).

On average, Arkansas has 74.1 possessions per game and scores 1.157 points on each possession. Evansville has both fewer possessions (70.8) and scores fewer points during those possessions (1.127).

The Evansville Aces have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking 22nd in the country with an eFG% of 56.9%. When their opponents record a similar or higher eFG%, the Arkansas Razorbacks are winless with a 0-2 record.

Evansville ranks among the best in the nation in assists at second (22.4 assists per game). Arkansas is ranked 17th with 18.4 assists per game.

Arkansas ranks 87th in blocks per game with 4.6 and Evansville ranks 81st with 4.6 blocks per game.

The Evansville Aces make an average of 5.4 steals per game. When the Arkansas Razorbacks give up 5 or more steals, they are a winning 2-1.

Written by GMS Previews

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