The Indianapolis Colts (6-6) face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) at EverBank Field this week in a clash between AFC South rivals. This game will feature the NFL’s fifth-leading receiver, Allen Robinson (1,080 yards, 11 TDs). It will begin Sunday, Dec 13 at 1:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on CBS.
With a score of 16-13, the Colts captured a victory over the Jaguars in Week 4. Indianapolis will hope to extend their five-game win streak with this week’s game. Allen Hurns had a great outing in the last game against the Colts, totaling 11 catches for 116 yards and one TD. Coby Fleener had a big performance for Indianapolis, registering nine catches for 83 yards and one TD.
Indianapolis is a small one-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable.
Heading into Week 14 of league action, the Jaguars are 4-8 Straight Up (SU) and 6-5-1 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last five games, the Jaguars have records of 2-3 SU and 3-1-1 ATS. Look for Jacksonville to take advantage of an inferior Indianapolis pass defense, which ranks 30th in the league with 280.4 passing yards allowed per game. Turning to the Jaguars defense, a few key spots could be deciding factors this week. Jacksonville’s defense will look to improve its stats against the run when the Colts come to town. Indianapolis’s 88.8 rushing yards per game ranks 27th in the NFL. The Jaguars should be able to profit from Indianapolis’s struggles during the second quarter, when it gives up 8.9 points per game.
Moving to the road team, the Colts have a record of 6-6 for both ATS and SU. In the previous five games, Indianapolis has a record of 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. The Colts may be able to overcome the Jacksonville passing attack, which ranks 30th in completion percentage with 57.6%. The Jaguars need to prevent giveaways against the turnover-minded Colts. The defense ranks fourth in the league in turnovers with 2.2 per road game. The Colts thrive in late-game situations, averaging 8.8 points in the final quarter. Special teams help provide a spark for Indianapolis. They average the fifth-most return yards in the NFL with 98.3.
Predictions: SU Winner – Jax, ATS Winner – Jax
Notes
Jacksonville is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville’s last 8 games.
Jacksonville is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games.
Jacksonville is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home.
Jacksonville is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Jacksonville’s last 9 games when playing Indianapolis.
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis.
Jacksonville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis is 2-0 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Jacksonville is 1-2 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
Jacksonville is only 1-6 SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, and an even 2-2 SU when losing the turnover battle.
Indianapolis has drawn an average of 8.9 penalties on opponents this season, but Jacksonville is 3-1 SU when penalized eight or more times in a game.
The Jacksonville passing attack is ranked 14th in the league, while the Indianapolis pass defense is only ranked 30th. The Colts’ passing game is ranked 16th, compared to the 26th-ranked pass defense of the Jaguars.
Indianapolis has given up 29.2 points per game on the road, which ranks it only 27th in the league. Jacksonville has scored 21.7 points per game at home (ranked 19th overall).
