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Bowling Green Falcons – Ohio Bobcats Preview – 01.12.2016

Mid-American foes will clash when the Ohio Bobcats (10-4) take on the Bowling Green Falcons (10-5) at Convocation Center. The game begins at 7:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Jan. 12 and can be seen on EFC and ES3.

The Bobcats come into this game hoping to repeat their last performance, beating Ball State 79-73 on Saturday. Antonio Campbell played a pivotal role, recording his seventh double-double this season with 27 points and 13 rebounds. The Falcons are coming off a 79-67 loss at the hands of Central Michigan on Saturday. Rasheed Worrell played well for Bowling Green, recording 13 points, six rebounds, and one assist.

Campbell has been playing at a high level as of late for the Bobcats, averaging 17.2 points, 9.6 rebounds, 0.8 steals, 1.8 blocks, and 1.0 three-pointer over the last five games.

Ohio is a substantial 10-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 146 points. The Bobcats have gone 10-4 Straight Up (SU) and 7-3 Against The Spread (ATS). The Bobcats are an incredibly accurate shooting team from the line with a .777 free throw percentage, one of the highest marks in Division I.

Across the court, the Falcons have 10-5 SU and 6-5 ATS records.

Ohio and Bowling Green will be facing off in their first head-to-head contest of the season. When they last met the Falcons were winners, evening up the two teams’ head-to-head record over their most recent games (5-5). The Falcons lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Ohio held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once in the last five games, while Bowling Green wasn’t able to do so in that span.

Predictions: SU Winner – Ohio, ATS Winner – BGSU, O/U – Over

Notes

Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.

Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio’s last 7 games when playing Bowling Green.

Ohio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Bowling Green.

Ohio is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Bowling Green.

Ohio and Bowling Green both stand at an even 1-1 SU against their conference.

Ohio scores just 79.4 points per home game (ranked 141st). Bowling Green ranks 89th in points allowed on the road, giving up 71.0 points.

On average, Ohio has 69.7 possessions per game and scores 1.137 points on each possession. Bowling Green has both fewer possessions (69.3) and scores fewer points during those possessions (1.046).

Bowling Green has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.5%. Ohio is an even 2-2 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

On average, Ohio attempts 20.0 three pointers and Bowling Green attempts 17.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Ohio Bobcats are 6-4 while the Bowling Green Falcons have a winning 3-1 record.

Bowling Green, the 93rd-ranked team in rebounding, registers an average of 38.7 rebounds per game. Ohio does worse, ranked 199th with 36.4.

Bowling Green ranks 238th in offensive rebounds, while Ohio ranks at 99th in defensive rebounds.

On average, Ohio forces a turnover rate of 15.7%. When Bowling Green turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 7-4 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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