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Auburn Tigers – Vanderbilt Commodores Preview – 01.12.2016

Southeastern foes will lock horns when the Vanderbilt Commodores (8-7) play the Auburn Tigers (7-7) at Memorial Gym. The game begins at 9:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Jan. 12 and can be seen on ESU and ES3.

The Commodores fell to South Carolina 69-65 on Saturday. Riley LaChance was the team’s leading scorer with 15 points. The Tigers, meanwhile, are coming off a 76-61 loss against Missouri on Saturday. Tyler Harris led the game in scoring with 21 points.

Vanderbilt is a considerable 15-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 148 points. The Commodores look to build on their records of 8-7 Straight Up (SU) and 7-6 Against The Spread (ATS). The Commodores come into the game with the nation’s 49th-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 85.1 points per game on their own court. The Commodores are an impressive shooting team from three-point range with a .396 three-point field goal percentage, one of the highest marks in Division I. As for the Vanderbilt defense, teams have to fight for open shots against the Commodores, who have one of the best opponent field-goal percentages in the country at .374. The Commodores are the 36th-best team in the country at blocking shots, averaging 5.3 blocks per game.

On the other side, the Tigers have records of 6-7 ATS and 7-7 SU.

This game marks the first time these teams will play this season. The last time these conference rivals played, Vanderbilt won, moving its SU record against Auburn to 10-0 in their most recent head-to-head meetings. The Commodores also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 8-2. Neither team held the edge in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers in a single game during this span.

Predictions: SU Winner – Vandy, ATS Winner – Vandy, O/U – Over

Notes

Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.

Vanderbilt is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt’s last 6 games.

Vanderbilt is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt’s last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt’s last 6 games when playing Auburn.

While Auburn is struggling at 1-2 against the Southeastern, Vanderbilt remains winless at 0-3 SU.

The Auburn Tigers average 77.5 points per game, ranking 100th in the nation. The Vanderbilt Commodores rank 62nd in points allowed with 66.1.

Auburn scores just 69.3 points per away game (ranked 178th). Vanderbilt ranks 69th in points allowed at home, giving up 62.3 points.

The Vanderbilt Commodores have a defensive rating of 93.4 (ranked 26th), while the Auburn Tigers have an offensive rating of 105.3 (ranked 181st).

Auburn has an average field goal percentage of 44.3%. Vanderbilt is a losing 1-3 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Auburn Tigers both rank higher in average effective field goal percentage when compared to their field goal percentages. Vanderbilt is 69th and 47th in the nation for FG% and eFG% respectively, while Auburn is 160th and 78th in these categories.

Vanderbilt ranks 86th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.22. Auburn is ranked lower at 263rd with an A/TO of .91.

Auburn ranks 206th in offensive rebounds, while Vanderbilt ranks at 19th in defensive rebounds.

Vanderbilt has forced an average turnover rate of 16.6% this season. In games where its turnover rate is 16.6% or higher, Auburn is an even 6-6.

Written by GMS Previews

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