It will be a battle between Southeastern opponents when the LSU Tigers (9-6) welcome the Ole Miss Rebels (12-3) to Pete Maravich Assembly Center. The game gets underway at 9:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Jan. 13 and will air on ES2 and ES3.
The Tigers were beaten by Florida 68-62 on Saturday. Ben Simmons played well in the loss for LSU, recording 28 points and 17 rebounds to earn his 12th double-double of the season. The Rebels are coming off a 72-71 win over Georgia on Saturday. Stefan Moody shot 6 for 17 and led in scoring with 29 points.
Over the last five games, Sebastian Saiz has been on a tear for the Rebels. During that stretch, he has averaged 13.8 points, 10.2 rebounds, 1.0 assist, 1.6 steals, and 1.2 blocks.
Even with a positive Straight Up (SU) record of 9-6, the Tigers are 5-8 Against The Spread (ATS) in those games. Spreading the ball around is a huge part of LSU’s offense. They are 38th in the nation in assists with an average of 16.6 per game. Turning to the defensive side, the Tigers are the 18th-best team in the country at taking the ball away from their opponents, averaging 8.7 steals per game.
On the other side, Ole Miss has a SU record of 12-3 and an ATS record of 7-7. Ole Miss is one of the better offensive rebounding teams in Division I. The Rebels average 13.2 offensive rebounds per game, making them the 48th-best team in the country for that category. When it comes to stealing the ball, the Rebels are one of the best in the nation with an average of 7.9 steals per game.
This is the first meeting of the season for LSU and Ole Miss. The last time they played, LSU came out on top, but Ole Miss still leads the head-to-head record over their most recent games, 7-3 SU. Additionally, Ole Miss leads the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Ole Miss had the advantage in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last five matchups. LSU has never had the edge in all three categories.
Predictions: SU Winner – LSU, ATS Winner – LSU
Notes
LSU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LSU’s last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LSU’s last 5 games at home.
LSU is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LSU’s last 14 games when playing Mississippi.
LSU is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Mississippi.
LSU and Ole Miss both hold winning records of 2-1 against the Southeastern Conference this season.
Ranked 76th, the LSU Tigers have an offensive rating of 111.1. The Ole Miss Rebels rank 134th with a defensive rating of just 99.8.
Ole Miss has an average field goal percentage of 42.6%. LSU is a winning 4-2 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The LSU Tigers and the Ole Miss Rebels both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. LSU is 98th and 57th in the nation for eFG% and FG% respectively, while Ole Miss ranks 263rd and 251st in these categories.
LSU ranks 38th in assists, registering 16.6 per game. Ole Miss performs worse at 245th with 12.6 assists per game.
LSU ranks 45th in rebounds per game with 40.2 and Ole Miss ranks 62nd with 39.5 rebounds per game.
Making 8.7 steals per game, LSU is ranked 18th in the country. Ole Miss has a winning 5-2 record when it gives up at least 8 steals.
