Expect a low-scoring game when the Fairfield Stags (9-9) and Marist Red Foxes (4-12) collide at McCann Center. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Friday, Jan. 22 and can be seen on ES3.
The Red Foxes are hoping to rebound after their 76-67 loss to Saint Peter’s in their last matchup. Khallid Hart was the game’s leading scorer with 25 points. The Stags, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 77-71 loss against that same Saint Peter’s squad in their last game. Fairfield lost despite the best efforts of Jonathan Kasibabu, who recorded his second double-double of the season with 16 points and 10 rebounds.
Over the last five games, Brian Parker has taken his game to another level for the Red Foxes, averaging 19.0 points, 7.6 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 1.0 steal, and 0.6 three-pointers.
The odds for Marist and Fairfield are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 158 points. The Red Foxes come into this game 4-12 Straight Up (SU) and 6-4-1 Against The Spread (ATS).
In the other locker room, the Stags have records of 5-8 ATS and 9-9 SU. Fairfield has not performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 2-5 record. Offensively, they average 77.3 points per game on the road, which is 35th in the country. The Stags rely heavily on three-pointers on offense, ranking 33rd in the nation with 173 made (9.0 per game).
This game marks the season’s first head-to-head clash between these conference foes. Their previous game was a Red Foxes victory, but the win was not enough for them to overtake Fairfield in their recent head-to-head series. Their record is now 3-7 SU over the last few meetings. The teams are even ATS, with a 5-5 record. Fairfield held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers twice in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, Marist never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – Fair, ATS Winner – Fair, O/U – Over
Notes
Marist is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marist’s last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marist’s last 5 games when playing Fairfield.
Marist is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Fairfield.
Fairfield averages 78.2 points per game (ranked 77th). Marist, on the other hand, allows 79.6 points per game (ranked 323rd).
Fairfield beats Marist in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Stags average 74.2 possessions and 1.054 points per possession, while the Red Foxes average 70.7 possessions with 1.028 points per possession.
Marist has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.9%. Fairfield is an abysmal 2-6 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
On average, the Marist Red Foxes attempt 24.0 three point field goals per game and the Fairfield Stags attempt 26.0. In games where they attempt at least 20 threes, Marist has an underachieving record of 2-11, while Fairfield is 8-9.
Fairfield ranks 100th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.20. Marist is ranked lower at 261st with an A/TO of .92.
Marist has forced an average turnover percentage of 17.6% this season. Fairfield has a subpar 1-7 record when its TO% is 17.6% or higher.
