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UCLA Bruins – Oregon Ducks Preview – 01.23.2016

The UCLA Bruins will be at Matthew Knight Arena to square off against the Oregon Ducks in a Pac-12 matchup. The game starts at 4:00 pm ET on Saturday, Jan. 23 and will air on CBS.

The Ducks beat USC 89-81 on Thursday. Elgin Cook led all scorers on the team with 26 points on 8-for-13 shooting. The Bruins, meanwhile, are coming off an 82-73 win over Oregon State on Wednesday. Isaac Hamilton led the game in scoring with 25 points on 10-for-14 shooting.

Oregon, an eight-point favorite, will look to capitalize at home against UCLA. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at 158 points. The Ducks look to build on their records of 15-4 Straight Up (SU) and 8-7-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The Ducks are the 46th-best team in the country at taking the ball away from their opponents, averaging 7.8 steals per game.

Across the court, the Bruins have a 12-7 SU record, but have struggled ATS with a 7-12 record. They sport the 15th-ranked scoring offense in the country, averaging 80 points per game. The Bruins are a force on the boards, grabbing an average of 41.8 rebounds per game.

This is the first meeting of the season for these conference rivals. The last time they played, UCLA came out on top, but Oregon still leads the head-to-head record, 6-4 SU, over their most recent matchups. Additionally, with a 6-4 record, Oregon has the advantage ATS. Oregon topped the Bruins in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) twice over the last five matchups. UCLA has never had the edge in all three categories.

Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – UCLA, O/U – Over

Notes

Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon’s last 6 games.

Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon’s last 5 games when playing UCLA.

Oregon is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing UCLA.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oregon’s last 14 games when playing at home against UCLA.

The UCLA Bruins average 80.2 points per game, ranking 44th in the nation. The Oregon Ducks rank 85th in points allowed with 67.1.

Ranked 78th, the Oregon Ducks have an offensive rating of 110.8. The UCLA Bruins rank 257th with a defensive rating of just 106.4.

The UCLA Bruins average 72.8 possessions per game and 1.101 points per possession. The Oregon Ducks earn fewer possessions with 69.4, but they score more points with 1.108.

Oregon has an average effective field goal percentage of 52.2%. UCLA is 3-4 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

On average, Oregon attempts 19.0 three pointers and UCLA attempts 16.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Oregon Ducks are 6-4 while the UCLA Bruins have a winning 3-1 record.

UCLA ranks 96th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.20. Oregon is ranked lower at 143rd with an A/TO of 1.11.

Ranked 18th in the nation, UCLA averages 41.8 rebounds per game. Oregon ranks lower at 164th with 36.9 RPG.

The UCLA Bruins rank 35th in offensive rebounds. The Oregon Ducks rank 192nd in the nation in defensive rebounds.

On average, UCLA forces a turnover rate of 15.6%. When Oregon turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a tremendous 10-3 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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