A five-game home winless streak may come to an end for the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (3-14) when they take on the Northern Colorado Bears (6-13). Action gets underway at 4:00 pm ET on Saturday, Jan. 23.
The Lumberjacks lost big to North Dakota 101-59 on Thursday. Kris Yanku was the team’s leading scorer with 17 points. The Bears are coming off a 90-80 win against Southern Utah on Thursday. Jordan Wilson was the game’s top scorer, accounting for 24 points on 9-for-13 shooting.
Northern Arizona is a small two-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 160 points. The Lumberjacks have gone 3-14 Straight Up (SU) and 3-9 Against The Spread (ATS). Northern Colorado has a habit of getting in foul trouble (23.2 fouls per game), so expect the Lumberjacks to get a number of opportunities from the free throw line.
Across the court, the Bears have records of 7-10 ATS and 6-13 SU. Northern Colorado is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the nation, converting .385 of their shots from three-point range.
These conference foes will be squaring off for the first time this season. In their most recent meeting a season ago, Northern Colorado came out on top, moving its SU record against Northern Arizona to 7-3 in their most recent head-to-head meetings. Furthermore, with a 5-3-2 record, Northern Colorado has the advantage ATS. When it comes to field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers, Northern Colorado held the edge in all three of these categories once in the last five meetings. Northern Arizona never did so in those games.
Predictions: SU Winner – NoCol, ATS Winner – NoCol, O/U – Over
Notes
Northern Arizona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
Northern Arizona is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Arizona’s last 6 games.
Northern Arizona is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home.
Northern Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Arizona’s last 5 games when playing Northern Colorado.
Northern Arizona is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Northern Colorado.
Northern Arizona is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Northern Colorado.
Northern Arizona is struggling at 1-5 SU in its conference, while Northern Colorado sits at 3-4 SU.
The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks average 73.1 possessions per game and .945 points per possession, while the Northern Colorado Bears earn fewer possessions (69.7) but more points per possession (1.087).
Northern Arizona has an average effective field goal percentage of 45.6%. Northern Colorado is a subpar 3-13 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
On average, the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks attempt 21.0 three point field goals per game and the Northern Colorado Bears attempt 17.0. In games where they attempt at least 20 threes, both teams have losing records; Northern Arizona is 1-8 and Northern Colorado is 1-4.
Northern Arizona has forced an average turnover percentage of 17.7% this season. Northern Colorado has a subpar 1-7 record when its TO% is 17.7% or higher.
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