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LSU Tigers – Alabama Crimson Tide Preview – 01.23.2016

It will be a battle between Southeastern opponents when the Alabama Crimson Tide (10-7) welcome the LSU Tigers (11-7) to Coleman Coliseum. The game starts at 2:00 pm ET on Saturday, Jan. 23 and will air on ESU and ES3.

The Tigers, meanwhile, are coming off a 71-57 loss at the hands of Texas A&M on Tuesday. Ben Simmons scored 10 points and recorded 11 rebounds earning his 14th double-double of the season.

It will be a tale of two tempos, as the fast-breaking Tigers (ranked 22nd in the nation in possessions per game) take on the half-court oriented Crimson Tide (307th).

Alabama is a small two-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 141 points. The Crimson Tide are attempting to build on their records of 10-7 Straight Up (SU) and 8-7 Against The Spread (ATS).

On the other side, the Tigers haven’t fared well ATS, sitting at 5-11. However, they are 11-7 SU. The Tigers rarely make costly errors handling the ball. They have the 43rd-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the country at 1.35. When it comes to stealing the ball, the Tigers are one of the best in the nation with an average of 8.1 steals per game.

This is the first meeting of the season for Alabama and LSU. The last time they played, LSU came out on top, but Alabama still leads the head-to-head record, 6-4 SU, over their most recent matchups. The Tigers hold the advantage ATS with a record of 5-4-1. Neither team was able to hold the edge in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers over the course of their latest five contests.

Predictions: SU Winner – LSU, ATS Winner – LSU, O/U – Over

Notes

Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama’s last 5 games.

Alabama is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.

Alabama is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing LSU.

Alabama is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LSU.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama’s last 6 games when playing at home against LSU.

Alabama is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against LSU.

The LSU Tigers average 81.4 points per game, ranking 33rd in the nation. The Alabama Crimson Tide rank 70th in points allowed with 66.7.

Ranked 90th, the LSU Tigers have an offensive rating of 110.0. The Alabama Crimson Tide rank 137th with a defensive rating of just 100.5.

Alabama has an average field goal percentage of 43.3%. LSU is a solid 6-3 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

The Alabama Crimson Tide rank lower for their field goal percentage (216th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (155th), but the LSU Tigers have a better FG% ranking (47th) than eFG% ranking (99th).

LSU ranks 29th in assists, recording 16.6 per game. Alabama performs worse at 325th with 10.9 assists per game.

Alabama, the 58th-ranked team in blocked shots, records an average of 4.8 per game. LSU does worse, ranked 148th with 3.7.

Alabama ranks 294th in offensive rebounds, while LSU ranks 47th in defensive rebounds.

Alabama has forced an average turnover percentage of 19.7% this season. LSU has a losing 1-4 record when its TO% is 19.7% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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