The California Golden Bears (15-8) look to extend their 10-game home winning streak in a matchup against the No. 11-ranked Oregon Ducks (20-4). The game begins at 9:00 pm ET on Thursday, Feb. 11 and can be seen on ES2 and ES3.
The Golden Bears come into this game on a high note after defeating Stanford 76-61 in their last game. Kameron Rooks played a pivotal role, recording his first double-double this season with 11 points and 12 rebounds. The Ducks are coming off a 76-66 win against Utah in their last outing. Dillon Brooks shot 12 for 22 and led in scoring with 30 points.
Over the last five games, Chris Boucher and Brooks have been on a tear for the Ducks. During that stretch, Boucher has averaged 15.2 points, 8.2 rebounds, 0.6 steals, 4.0 blocks, and 1.8 three-pointers. Not to be outdone, Brooks has put up 21.4 points, 4.2 rebounds, 3.6 assists, 1.2 steals, and 1.8 three-pointers.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Ducks won the first game 68-65. Boucher had a standout performance in the victory, putting up 18 points, five rebounds, four steals, four blocks, and one three-pointer.
The Golden Bears come into this game 15-8 Straight Up (SU) and 11-12 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games. The Golden Bears have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 80.4 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 74.3 points per game. The Golden Bears have a distinct advantage on the boards in this matchup. They are the 50th-ranked rebounding team in Division I, averaging 39.4 per game, while the Ducks rank 185th in the nation with 36.2 per game. Turning to the defensive end, the Golden Bears have limited opponents’ efforts from beyond the arc, allowing 5.0 three-pointers made per game.
In the other locker room, the Ducks head into the game with records of 13-7-1 ATS and 20-4 SU. Offensively, the Ducks have really sputtered in the last 10 games. Their season average has fallen to 78.1 points per game after averaging only 70.8 during that stretch.
Oregon won the last meeting this season between these two teams, but the win was not enough to overtake California in their recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 2-8 SU over the most recent meetings. Additionally, California leads the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. California held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once in the last five games, while Oregon wasn’t able to do so in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon
Notes
California averages 74.3 points per game, placing the team just 126th in the nation. Oregon ranks 65th in points allowed, giving up 67.4 points per game.
California scores just 78.6 points per home game (ranked 111th). Oregon ranks 66th in points allowed on the road, giving up 70.9 points.
The California Golden Bears rank 85th for their offensive rating of 110.0. The Oregon Ducks have a defensive rating of 97.0 (ranked 51st).
With 67.6 possessions and 1.100 points per possession, the California Golden Bears perform worse on both metrics than the Oregon Ducks. Oregon averages 69.2 possessions and 1.128 points per possession.
California has an average effective field goal percentage of 52.7%. Oregon is an even 3-3 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
The California Golden Bears average 18.0 three point attempts per game, and the Oregon Ducks attempt 19.0 per game. When going for at least 20 three pointers in a game this season, both teams have winning records; California is 9-1 and Oregon is 11-4.
Oregon, the fourth-ranked team in blocked shots, records an average of 6.2 blocks per game. California ranks 32nd with 5.1.
Oregon ranks 132nd in offensive rebounds, while California ranks at 30th in defensive rebounds.
On average, California forces a turnover rate of 14.2%. When Oregon turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has an outstanding 13-3 record.
