Sun Belt foes will collide when the South Alabama Jaguars (9-14) face the Georgia State Panthers (13-8) at Mitchell Center. Action begins at 8:00 pm ET on Thursday, Feb. 11.
The Jaguars are hoping to rebound after their 74-43 loss to Little Rock in their last matchup. Nick Davis had a good outing, recording three points, five rebounds, and one block for South Alabama. The Panthers, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their ugly 90-69 loss against UT Arlington in their last game. Isaiah Williams led the team in scoring with 14 points.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of South Alabama, which ranks 304th in the nation in ball protection (TO% of 20.7%). The disruptive defense of Georgia State forces the 30th-most turnovers in the nation (21.8%).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Panthers winning the first matchup 70-55. Jeremy Hollowell had a stellar game with 23 points, two rebounds, one assist, two steals, and two three-pointers.
The Jaguars have gone 9-14 Straight Up (SU) and 10-11 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have only managed a record of 2-8 ATS.
Over on the other bench, the Panthers have been a poor bet so far, with a disappointing record of 6-13 ATS. Their SU record, 13-8, hasn’t been quite as bad. The Panthers allow just 64.4 points per game, ranking them 26th in the nation. The Panthers have one of the best opponent three-point field goal percentages in the country at .312.
With the Panthers’ last win against South Alabama, their SU record is now 7-2 over South Alabama in their most recent meetings. The Panthers also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 4-1-2. Georgia State held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers one time, while South Alabama was never able to do so in their most recent five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – USA, ATS Winner – USA
Notes
“South Alabama is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games “.
“South Alabama is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Alabama’s last 5 games at home”.
“South Alabama is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Georgia State”.
“South Alabama is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia State”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Alabama’s last 5 games when playing Georgia State”.
“Georgia State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Alabama”.
South Alabama is languishing at 4-8 SU against conference rivals, while Georgia State has an even 6-6 SU record against its foes.
South Alabama scores just 73.5 points per home game (ranked 175th). Georgia State ranks eighth in points allowed on the road, giving up 63.2 points.
The Georgia State Panthers have a defensive rating of 98.2 (ranked 75th), while the South Alabama Jaguars have an offensive rating of 97.1 (ranked 308th).
The Georgia State Panthers average a field goal percentage of 44.1% this season. The South Alabama Jaguars are a winless 0-10 when opponents have a FG% of 44.1% or greater.
The Georgia State Panthers rank higher based on their field goal percentage (173rd) than their effective field goal percentage (250th), while the South Alabama Jaguars rank the same for both metrics (305th).
South Alabama ranks 88th in offensive rebounding. Georgia State ranks 324th in defensive rebounding.
On average, South Alabama forces a turnover rate of 18.8%. When Georgia State turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a solid 7-4 record.
