It figures to be a high-scoring affair as the No. 18-ranked Purdue Boilermakers (20-5) visit Michigan to take on the Wolverines (18-7). The game gets underway at 2:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 13 and can be seen on ES2 and ES3.
The Wolverines were victorious over Minnesota 82-74 on Wednesday. Derrick Walton Jr. was the game’s high scorer with 26 points on 9-for-15 shooting. The Boilermakers, meanwhile, are coming off an 82-81 win against Michigan State on Tuesday. A.J. Hammons had a good game and claimed his seventh double-double of the season, accumulating 19 points and 13 rebounds.
Over the last five games, Hammons has been on a tear for the Boilermakers. During that stretch, he has averaged 19.0 points, 9.6 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 3.2 blocks.
This battle pits one of the nation’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses, as Michigan currently ranks 12th in offensive efficiency and Purdue is 10th in defensive efficiency.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Boilermakers won the first game 87-70. Despite the loss, Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman was a top performer in the game with 25 points, four rebounds, two assists, two steals, and two three-pointers.
The Wolverines enter the game with records of 18-7 Straight Up (SU) and 12-12 Against The Spread (ATS). The Wolverines are a phenomenal shooting team from the line with a .735 free throw percentage, one of the highest marks in Division I. Michigan is one of the most disciplined teams in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.59.
On the other side, the Boilermakers have records of 12-8 ATS and 19-5 SU. Purdue has been particularly bad ATS over its past 10 matchups, going 3-7. The Boilermakers convert their free throws at a high percentage, ranking 26th in the nation at .747. The Boilermakers have controlled the glass with an average of 42.5 rebounds per game, fourth in the country. The Boilermakers are the better of the two teams when it comes to assist-to-turnover ratio, ranking 26th in Division I at 1.42. The Purdue defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking 16th in Division I with only 64.8 points allowed per road game.
Following the Boilermakers’ latest win over Michigan, they evened up the head-to-head record over their most recent meetings, 5-5 SU. However, Purdue holds the advantage ATS with a record of 7-2-1. During their latest five matchups, neither team ever held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers.
Predictions: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue
Notes
“Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games “.
“Michigan is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 11 of Michigan’s last 14 games “.
“Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.
“Michigan is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home”.
“Michigan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Purdue”.
“Michigan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Purdue”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan’s last 5 games when playing Purdue”.
“Michigan is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Purdue”.
“Michigan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Purdue”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan’s last 5 games when playing at home against Purdue”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan”.
Michigan averages 77.0 points per game this season. Purdue is one of the best teams in points allowed, giving up just 63.7 points per game (ranked 15th).
Michigan scores just 78.5 points per home game (ranked 112th). Purdue ranks 16th in points allowed on the road, giving up 64.8 points.
In its last game, Purdue won by a margin of one point. Michigan is 1-0 in games decided by a margin of three points or less. Purdue also has a 1-0 record in close games.
Ranked 33rd, the Purdue Boilermakers have an offensive rating of 113.8. The Michigan Wolverines rank 129th with a defensive rating of just 101.2.
Michigan has an average field goal percentage of 48.4% (ranked 19th). Purdue is a losing 1-2 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Michigan Wolverines and the Purdue Boilermakers both rank higher in average effective field goal percentage when compared to their field goal percentages. Michigan is 19th and sixth in the nation for FG% and eFG% respectively, while Purdue is 75th and 70th in these categories.
Purdue ranks among the best in the nation in assists at ninth (17.8 assists per game). Michigan is ranked 58th with 15.6 assists per game.
Purdue, the 29th-ranked team in blocked shots, registers an average of 5.2 per game. Michigan does worse, ranked 303rd with 2.3.
Michigan ranks 342nd in offensive rebounds, while Purdue ranks second in defensive rebounds.
On average, Michigan makes 5.8 steals per game. Purdue has a tremendous 16-5 record when it gives up at least 5 steals.
