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Memphis Tigers – Tulane Green Wave Preview – 02.13.2016

A five-game home winless streak may come to an end for the Tulane Green Wave (9-16) when they match up with the Memphis Tigers (14-10). The game starts at 2:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 13 and can be seen on CCS.

The Green Wave come into this game hoping to repeat their last performance, beating East Carolina 100-92 on Wednesday. Louis Dabney was the game’s leading scorer with 32 points on 11-for-20 shooting. The Tigers, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 98-90 loss against Houston on Wednesday. Shaq Goodwin had a good shooting night, leading the team with 24 points.

Dabney has been playing at a high level over the last five games for the Green Wave. During that stretch, he has averaged 19.0 points, 4.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 2.0 steals, and 1.5 three-pointers. Goodwin has also been hot in the same span, averaging 21.0 points, 7.6 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.4 steals, and 1.4 blocks while leading the Tigers.

The inefficient offense of Tulane (320th in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 96.1) will square off against the top-notch defense of Memphis (29th in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 95.4). The Tigers figure to have the advantage on that end of the court. Furthermore, the defense of the Tigers should have an advantage in terms of eFG%. They’re 14th in the nation in forcing misses (opponents’ eFG% of 44.3%), while the offense of the Green Wave ranks 327th in eFG% (45.3%).

This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Tigers winning the first matchup 77-65. Trahson Burrell put up a double-double in the victory with 21 points and 13 rebounds.

The Green Wave come into this game 9-16 Straight Up (SU) and 8-10-2 Against The Spread (ATS). The Green Wave have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 74.6 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 65.6 points per game. Expect to see a lot of second-chance opportunities for Tulane in this matchup, which is one of the top rebounding teams in the nation with an average of 12.8 offensive boards per game. The Tulane defense has done poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 76.2 points per game, well above their season average of 69.3.

On the other side, the Tigers have records of 8-12-1 ATS and 14-10 SU. Most recently, Memphis is a meager 2-7-1 ATS over the last 10 games. The Tigers have been struggling of late. In their most recent 10 games, their scoring has dropped to 62.5 PPG, compared to 65.6 for the duration of the season. The Tigers get to the line and convert their free throws at a high volume, ranking fifth in the nation with 486 made (20.0 per game). The Tigers are a force on the offensive glass, grabbing an average of 13.7 offensive rebounds per game. Memphis’s defense is one of the top in the nation, with opponents shooting only .393 from the field. The Tigers are a terror in the passing lanes, averaging an impressive 7.9 steals per game.

Following the Tigers’ latest win over Tulane, their SU record against Tulane moves to 9-1 over their most recent meetings. However, with a 5-4-1 record, Tulane has the advantage ATS. Neither team was able to hold the edge in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers over the course of their latest five contests.

Predictions: SU Winner – Mem, ATS Winner – Mem

Notes

“Tulane is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games “.

“Tulane is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games “.

“Tulane is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.

“Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home”.

“Tulane is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games when playing Memphis”.

“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulane’s last 6 games when playing Memphis”.

“Tulane is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis”.

“Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis”.

“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane’s last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis”.

“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulane”.

Memphis averages 77.2 points per game (ranked 75th). Tulane, on the other hand, allows 69.3 points per game (ranked 103rd).

The Memphis Tigers have a defensive rating of 95.4 (ranked 29th), while the Tulane Green Wave have an offensive rating of 96.1 (ranked 320th).

The Tulane Green Wave average a field goal percentage of 40.0% this season. The Memphis Tigers have a poor record of 4-8 when opponents have a FG% of 40.0% or greater.

Tulane attempts an average of 21.0 three pointers per game and Memphis attempts 18.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Tulane Green Wave have a subpar 4-12 record while the Memphis Tigers have a 5-7 record.

Memphis ranks 90th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.20. Tulane is ranked lower at 314th with an A/TO of .81.

Memphis, the 13th-ranked team in rebounding, registers an average of 41.7 rebounds per game. Tulane ranks 72nd with 38.6.

When it comes to offensive rebounds, Memphis ranks 18th. Tulane ranks 145th in defensive rebounds.

Tulane has forced an average turnover percentage of 18.4% this season. Memphis has a poor 4-7 record when its TO% is 18.4% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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