The Pac-12’s top team will be on the road when the No. 11 Oregon Ducks (20-5) head to Maples Pavilion to challenge the Stanford Cardinal (11-11). Action begins at 4:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 13 and can be seen on PAC.
The Cardinal are hoping to rebound after their 62-50 loss to Oregon State on Thursday. Rosco Allen was the team’s leading scorer with 12 points. The Ducks, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their demoralizing 83-63 loss against California on Thursday. Chris Boucher had a good game for Oregon, registering 11 points, six rebounds, and two steals.
Boucher has been hot for the Ducks, averaging 13.8 points, 7.4 rebounds, 1.0 steal, 3.6 blocks, and 1.6 three-pointers over the past five games.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Ducks winning the first matchup 71-58. Dillon Brooks put up a double-double in the victory with 15 points and 10 rebounds.
The Cardinal have gone 11-11 Straight Up (SU) and 7-12-1 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (8-2). The Cardinal have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 79.9 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 69.5 points per game.
As for their opponent, the Ducks have records of 13-8-1 ATS and 20-5 SU. Oregon has not performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 2-7-1 record. Offensively, the Ducks have really sputtered in the last 10 games. Their season average has fallen to 77.5 points per game after averaging only 66.0 during that stretch. The Ducks average 68.0 points allowed per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 73.9 points per game during that span. Blocking shots is an area where Oregon has excelled. The Ducks average 6.1 blocks per game, making them one of the best in the nation.
The Ducks’ win over Stanford in their last clash bumped their SU record over their most recent meetings to 6-4. With a 6-4 record, the Ducks also have the advantage ATS. Stanford held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, Oregon never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon
Notes
“Stanford is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games “.
“Stanford is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games “.
“Stanford is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.
“Stanford is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford’s last 6 games at home”.
“Stanford is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oregon”.
“Stanford is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oregon”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford’s last 6 games when playing Oregon”.
“Stanford is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against Oregon”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford’s last 7 games when playing at home against Oregon”.
Stanford scores an average of just 69.5 points per game (ranked 197th). Oregon ranks 79th in points allowed, giving up 68.0 points per game.
Stanford scores just 71.9 points per home game (ranked 205th). Oregon ranks 90th in points allowed on the road, giving up 72.1 points.
Oregon lost its last game by a 20-point margin. In games decided by a margin of 18 points or more, Stanford is 3-1. Oregon is 8-1 in blowouts this season.
Ranked 55th, the Oregon Ducks have an offensive rating of 112.3. The Stanford Cardinal rank 161st with a defensive rating of just 102.8.
The Stanford Cardinal average a field goal percentage of 41.6% this season. The Oregon Ducks have a winning 10-5 record in games where opponents have a FG% of 41.6% or greater.
The Stanford Cardinal and the Oregon Ducks both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. Stanford is 306th and 284th in the nation for eFG% and FG% respectively, while Oregon ranks 80th and 57th in these categories.
Oregon ranks 93rd in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.19. Stanford is ranked lower at 208th with an A/TO of 1.00.
The Stanford Cardinal make an average of 6.8 steals per game. When the Oregon Ducks allow 6 or more steals, they are a stellar 5-1.
