It will be a battle between West Coast opponents when the San Francisco Dons (13-11) welcome the San Diego Toreros (8-16) to War Memorial Gymnasium. The game gets underway at 6:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 13.
The Dons got blown out by BYU 114-89 on Thursday. Devin Watson finished with 29 points to lead the team. The Toreros, meanwhile, are coming off a tough 74-71 loss at the hands of Santa Clara on Thursday. Olin Carter III stood out for San Diego, posting 14 points, three rebounds, and two assists.
Tim Derksen has really been playing well as of late for the Dons, averaging 18.2 points, 8.8 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.0 steal, and 1.4 three-pointers over the last five games.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Dons won the first game 73-65. Ronnie Boyce III was a top performer in the victory with 22 points, seven rebounds, two assists, two steals, one block, and five three-pointers.
The Dons are attempting to build on their records of 13-11 Straight Up (SU) and 10-11 Against The Spread (ATS). The Dons have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire nation, averaging 82.6 points per game. The Dons have a distinct advantage on the boards in this matchup. They are the 38th-ranked rebounding team in Division I, averaging 39.9 per game, while the Toreros rank 290th in the nation with 33.7 per game. The San Francisco defense is doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games. It is allowing an average of 68.8 points per game, well under their season average of 78.6.
Across the court, the Toreros head into the game with records of 11-12 ATS and 8-16 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 81.9 PPG, above their 61.0 PPG season average. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Toreros on the defensive end. They allowed 84.3 points per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 67.7. San Diego’s three-point defense is one of the top in the country, with opponents making only 5.0 shots from the three-point line per game.
Following the Dons’ latest win over San Diego, their SU record rises to 7-3 over San Diego in their most recent meetings. Additionally, with a 6-4 record, San Francisco has the advantage ATS. San Francisco topped the Toreros in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last five matchups. San Diego has never had the edge in all three categories.
Predictions: SU Winner – SanFr, ATS Winner – SanFr
Notes
“San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games “.
“San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home”.
“San Francisco is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing San Diego”.
“San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Diego”.
“San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego”.
“San Diego is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing San Francisco”.
“San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco”.
The San Francisco Dons average 77.7 points per game, ranking 65th in the nation. The San Diego Toreros rank 71st in points allowed with 67.7.
San Francisco lost its last game by a 25-point margin. In games decided by a margin of 18 points or more, San Diego is 1-4. San Francisco is 3-4 in blowouts this season.
Ranked 99th, the San Francisco Dons have an offensive rating of 109.1. The San Diego Toreros rank 199th with a defensive rating of just 104.2.
San Francisco has an average field goal percentage of 44.0%. San Diego is an abysmal 2-14 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The San Francisco Dons and the San Diego Toreros both rank higher in average effective field goal percentage when compared to their field goal percentages. San Francisco is 187th and 172nd in the nation for FG% and eFG% respectively, while San Diego is 336th and 329th in these categories.
San Francisco, the 38th-ranked team in rebounding, register an average of 39.9 rebounds per game. San Diego does worse, ranked 290th with 33.7.
San Diego ranks 212th in offensive rebounds, while San Francisco ranks at 79th in defensive rebounds.
San Francisco has forced an average turnover percentage of 15.9% this season. San Diego has an underachieving 7-13 record when its TO% is 15.9% or higher.
