Don’t expect a high-scoring game when the Oregon State Beavers (15-8) travel to California to play the Golden Bears (16-8). The game gets underway at 6:30 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 13 and will air on PAC.
The Golden Bears won big over Oregon 83-63 on Thursday. Jabari Bird was the game’s high scorer with 24 points on 9-for-14 shooting. The Beavers are coming off a 62-50 win over Stanford on Thursday. Tres Tinkle shot 7 for 13 and led in scoring with 19 points.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Beavers won the first game 77-71. Gary Payton II played a huge role in the victory by recording a double-double with 20 points and 11 rebounds.
The Golden Bears enter the game with records of 16-8 Straight Up (SU) and 12-12 Against The Spread (ATS). California has averaged 66.6 points per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 74.7. California has consistently been near the top of the nation in terms of field goal percentage, currently ranking 50th in the nation with a FG% of .470. As for the California defense, teams routinely struggle to score points against the Golden Bears, who allow only 66.5 points per game. Teams have to fight for open shots against the Golden Bears, who have one of the best opponent field-goal percentages in the country at .389. The Golden Bears are the 33rd-best team in the country at blocking shots, averaging 5.1 blocks per game.
Across the court, Oregon State has a SU record of 15-8 and an ATS record of 12-10. The Beavers are one of the top defensive teams on the road, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 69.5 points allowed per away game.
Following the Beavers’ latest win over California, Oregon State is still behind in the head-to-head record over their most recent meetings, 3-7 SU. The teams have an even record ATS, 5-5. Neither California nor Oregon State has led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers) over their most recent five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – Cal, ATS Winner – Cal
Notes
“California is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 6 of California’s last 8 games “.
“California is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home”.
“California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of California’s last 6 games at home”.
“California is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oregon State”.
“California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California’s last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State”.
California averages 74.7 points per game, placing the team just 116th in the nation. Oregon State ranks 74th in points allowed, giving up 67.8 points per game.
California scores just 78.9 points per home game (ranked 105th). Oregon State ranks 48th in points allowed on the road, giving up 69.5 points.
California won its last game by a 20-point margin. In games decided by a margin of 18 points or more, Oregon State is 3-1. California is 6-0 in blowouts this season.
The California Golden Bears have a defensive rating of 98.9 (ranked 87th), while the Oregon State Beavers have an offensive rating of 105.5 (ranked 183rd).
The California Golden Bears average a field goal percentage of 47.0% this season. The Oregon State Beavers have a losing record of 2-4 when opponents have a FG% of 47.0% or greater.
The California Golden Bears and the Oregon State Beavers both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. California is 58th and 50th in the nation for eFG% and FG% respectively, while Oregon State ranks 207th and 191st in these categories.
California, the 33rd-ranked team in blocked shots, records an average of 5.1 per game. Oregon State does worse, ranked 161st with 3.5.
Oregon State ranks 160th in offensive rebounds, while California ranks at 26th in defensive rebounds.
Oregon State has forced an average turnover percentage of 20.9% this season. California is an even 6-6 when its TO% is 20.9% or higher.
