It will be a battle between Mid-American opponents when the Buffalo Bulls (14-12) welcome the Bowling Green Falcons (13-13) to Alumni Arena. The game begins at 12:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 20 and can be seen on ES3.
The Bulls were beaten by Akron 80-70 on Tuesday. CJ Massinburg finished with 21 points to lead the game. The Falcons, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 71-60 loss at the hands of Northern Illinois on Tuesday. Spencer Parker had a solid game for Bowling Green, recording 14 points, six rebounds, and four assists.
Massinburg has really been playing well over the last five games for the Bulls. During that stretch, he has averaged 19.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 2.4 steals, 0.8 blocks, and 1.8 three-pointers.
The Bulls come into this game 14-12 Straight Up (SU) and 11-11-2 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have only managed a record of 2-8 ATS. Buffalo has averaged 67.2 points per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 75.9. The Bulls are a high-volume shooting team from the line with 18.0 free throws made per game, one of the highest marks in Division I.
Over on the other bench, the Falcons have 13-13 SU and 9-13 ATS records. One advantage for the Falcons could be Buffalo’s high fouls per game average of 21.7.
This is the first meeting of the season for these conference foes. The last time they played, Buffalo came out on top, bumping its SU record to 6-4 over Bowling Green in their most recent meetings. The Falcons lead the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. Neither Buffalo nor Bowling Green has led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers) over their most recent five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – Buff, ATS Winner – Buff
Notes
“Buffalo is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home”.
“Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Bowling Green”.
“Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Bowling Green”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 6 games when playing Bowling Green”.
“Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green”.
“Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Bowling Green”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green”.
“Bowling Green is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bowling Green’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo”.
Buffalo averages 75.9 points per game (ranked 94th). Bowling Green, on the other hand, allows 70.5 points per game (ranked 122nd).
The Buffalo Bulls average 72.2 possessions and 1.051 points per possession in games this season. The Bowling Green Falcons average fewer possessions with 69.2, as well as fewer points per possession with 1.028.
Buffalo has an average effective field goal percentage of 48.7%. Bowling Green is a subpar 3-11 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
Buffalo attempts an average of 21.0 three pointers per game and Bowling Green attempts 16.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Buffalo Bulls have a formidable 12-4 record while the Bowling Green Falcons have a 4-3 record.
Buffalo ranks 72nd in offensive rebounding. When it comes to defensive rebounds, Bowling Green ranks 73rd.
On average, Buffalo makes 7.3 steals per game. Bowling Green is a losing 3-6 when it gives up at least 7 steals.
