The Ole Miss Rebels (18-10) will finish out the regular season on the road when they square off against the Georgia Bulldogs (14-12) at Stegeman Coliseum. The game begins at 12:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 27 and will air on SEC and ES3.
The Bulldogs are hoping for a better outcome after their 84-81 loss to Auburn on Wednesday. J.J. Frazier finished with 29 points to lead the game. The Rebels, meanwhile, are coming off an 85-76 win over Missouri on Tuesday. Stefan Moody shot 8 for 19 and led in scoring with 29 points.
The Georgia defense should have a clear edge in terms of eFG%. It ranks 11th in the nation in forcing misses (opponents’ eFG% of 44.2%), while the Ole Miss offense is 266th with a mark of 47.9%.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Rebels won the first game 72-71. Moody was a top performer in the victory with 29 points, four rebounds, seven assists, three steals, and two three-pointers.
The Bulldogs come into this game 14-12 Straight Up (SU) and 13-13 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (7-3). Opposing offenses have been stifled by the Bulldogs, who allow a field goal percentage of only .381. The Bulldogs are the 24th-best team in the country at blocking shots, averaging 5.3 blocks per game.
On the other side, the Rebels have records of 15-12 ATS and 18-10 SU. Offensively, the Rebels have really sputtered in the last 10 games. Their season average has fallen to 74.9 points per game after averaging only 68.3 during that stretch. The Rebels get to the line and convert their free throws at a high volume, ranking 36th in the nation with 495 made (17.0 per game). The Rebels have controlled the offensive glass with an average of 13.0 offensive rebounds per game, 38th in the country. Switching gears to the Ole Miss defense, teams with weak ball handling have not fared well against the Rebels, who rank 39th in the nation with 7.7 steals per game.
Ole Miss won the last meeting this season between these two teams, bringing the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over their most recent meetings. The Bulldogs lead the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. When it comes to field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers, neither team was able to hold the advantage in all three of these categories over their past five meetings against one another.
Predictions: SU Winner – Miss, ATS Winner – Miss
Notes
“Georgia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games “.
“Georgia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia’s last 7 games “.
“Georgia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia’s last 5 games at home”.
“Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Mississippi”.
“Georgia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi”.
“The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia’s last 9 games when playing Mississippi”.
“Georgia is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Mississippi”.
“Georgia is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Mississippi”.
Georgia is 7-8 against its conference rivals, while Ole Miss is 8-7.
Georgia scores just 69.9 points per home game (ranked 225th). Ole Miss ranks 73rd in points allowed on the road, giving up 71.3 points.
Ole Miss beats Georgia in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Rebels average 69.8 possessions and 1.073 points per possession, while the Bulldogs average 68.1 possessions with 1.013 points per possession.
Ole Miss has an average effective field goal percentage of 47.9%. Georgia is an underachieving 1-8 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
The Georgia Bulldogs average 5.3 blocks per game, the 24th-ranked team in the country. The Ole Miss Rebels rank a lowly 209th in blocking with just 3.2 per game.
Georgia ranks 29th in defensive rebounding. When it comes to offensive rebounds, Ole Miss ranks 38th.
On average, Georgia forces a turnover rate of 15.7%. When Ole Miss turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 9-4 record.
