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Texas A&M Aggies – Missouri Tigers Preview – 02.27.2016

To finish out the regular season, the No. 21-ranked Texas A&M Aggies (21-7) will travel to Mizzou Arena and compete against the Missouri Tigers (10-18). The game gets underway at 4:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 27 and will air on ESU and ES3.

The Tigers fell to Ole Miss 85-76 on Tuesday. Namon Wright was the team’s high scorer, recording 20 points. The Aggies, meanwhile, are coming off a 68-66 win over Mississippi State on Wednesday. Tyler Davis played well for Texas A&M, registering 15 points, six rebounds, and two blocks.

This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Aggies winning the first matchup 66-53. Jalen Jones had a standout performance in the victory, putting up 20 points, five rebounds, one assist, one steal, and one three-pointer.

While the Tigers haven’t been very good Straight Up (SU) (10-18), they’ve been better Against The Spread (ATS) with a 16-9-1 record. In their last 10 games, they are 3-7 ATS.

Across the court, the Aggies head into the game with records of 11-11-2 ATS and 21-7 SU. Texas A&M has a poor SU record over the last 10 games (2-8), but have an 8-2 record ATS. The Aggies have been struggling of late. In their most recent 10 games, their scoring has dropped to 67.9 PPG, compared to 68.4 for the duration of the season. Defenses have a tough time accounting for every player when up against the Aggies, who are known for distributing the ball with 17.4 assists per game. Moving on to the Texas A&M defense, the Aggies allow just 65.8 points per game, ranking them 37th in the nation.

With the Aggies’ last win against Missouri, the head-to-head record between these two is now an even 5-5 SU over their most recent meetings. They are also even ATS in their most recent games (5-5). Texas A&M held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers one time in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, Missouri never accomplished this feat in that span.

Predictions: SU Winner – TexA&M, ATS Winner – TexA&M

Notes

“Missouri is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games “.

“Missouri is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games “.

“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri’s last 7 games “.

“Missouri is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home”.

“Missouri is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home”.

“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri’s last 5 games at home”.

“Missouri is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Texas A&M”.

“Missouri is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Texas A&M”.

“The total has gone OVER in 10 of Missouri’s last 15 games when playing Texas A&M”.

“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri’s last 6 games when playing Texas A&M”.

“Missouri is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Texas A&M”.

“Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas A&M”.

Missouri averages 68.4 points per game, placing the team just 214th in the nation. Texas A&M ranks 37th in points allowed, giving up 65.8 points per game.

Texas A&M scores just 69.6 points per away game (ranked 146th). Missouri ranks 98th in points allowed at home, giving up 66.8 points.

The Texas A&M Aggies have a defensive rating of 96.4 (ranked 37th), while the Missouri Tigers have an offensive rating of 99.5 (ranked 291st).

The Missouri Tigers average 68.7 possessions per game and .995 points per possession, while the Texas A&M Aggies earn fewer possessions (68.2) but more points per possession (1.111).

Missouri has an average effective field goal percentage of 46.7%. Texas A&M is a winning 9-5 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

The Missouri Tigers average 18.0 three point attempts per game and have an abysmal 1-6 record when attempting at least 20 in a game. The Texas A&M Aggies average 21.0 attempts and have a dazzling 16-5 record when attempting 20 or more.

Texas A&M ranks 31st in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.42. Missouri is ranked lower at 253rd with an A/TO of .95.

The Texas A&M Aggies rank 75th in offensive rebounds. The Missouri Tigers rank 103rd in the nation in defensive rebounds.

On average, Missouri forces a turnover rate of 16.7%. When Texas A&M turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 10-6 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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