The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (16-12), the Sun Belt’s top shooting team, will challenge the Troy Trojans (9-19) at Trojan Arena. Action begins at 5:15 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 27.
The Trojans are hoping to rebound after their 73-63 loss to Louisiana-Lafayette on Thursday. Wesley Person was the team’s leading scorer with 17 points. The Warhawks, meanwhile, are coming off a 66-59 win against South Alabama on Thursday. Majok Deng had a good game for Louisiana-Monroe, accounting for 13 points, five rebounds, and five assists.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Warhawks winning the first matchup 85-74. Justin Roberson had a stellar game with 26 points, seven rebounds, four assists, three steals, and two three-pointers.
The Trojans come into this game 9-19 Straight Up (SU) and 10-16 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (8-2). The Trojans have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 79.7 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 70.8 points per game.
Over on the other bench, the Warhawks have records of 14-10 ATS and 16-12 SU. Louisiana-Monroe has not performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 3-7 record. Offensively, the Warhawks have really sputtered in the last 10 games. Their season average has fallen to 72.9 points per game after averaging only 63.7 during that stretch.
With the Warhawks’ last win against Troy, Louisiana-Monroe moved closer to evening up its record against Troy. It now stands at 4-6 SU over their most recent meetings. The Trojans also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Louisiana-Monroe held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, Troy never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – UL-Mon, ATS Winner – UL-Mon
Notes
“Troy is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games “.
“Troy is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Troy’s last 10 games “.
“Troy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.
“Troy is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Troy’s last 5 games at home”.
“Troy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe”.
“Troy is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe”.
“Troy is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe”.
“Troy is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe”.
“Troy is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe”.
Louisiana-Monroe holds a 12-5 SU record against the Sun Belt Conference this season, while Troy has an abysmal 4-13 SU record against the conference.
The Troy Trojans average 70.1 possessions per game and 1.010 points per possession, while the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks earn fewer possessions (67.7) but more points per possession (1.077).
Louisiana-Monroe has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.9%. Troy is an underachieving 1-13 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
On average, Troy attempts 21.0 three pointers and Louisiana-Monroe attempts 18.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Troy Trojans have a 6-13 record while the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks have a solid 8-4 record.
Troy has forced an average turnover percentage of 18.5% this season. Louisiana-Monroe has a subpar 5-8 record when its TO% is 18.5% or higher.
