It figures to be a high-scoring affair as the No. 12-ranked Indiana Hoosiers (23-6) travel to Iowa to take on the No. 16-ranked Hawkeyes (20-8). The game begins at 9:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Mar. 1 and will air on ESP and ES3.
The Hawkeyes lost to Ohio State 68-64 on Sunday. Mike Gesell was the team’s high scorer with 16 points. The Hoosiers, meanwhile, are coming off a 74-47 win against Illinois on Thursday. Yogi Ferrell led the game in scoring with 27 points on 11-for-18 shooting.
This matchup figures to be a high-scoring affair as Iowa ranks 27th in the nation in offensive efficiency (114.8), while Indiana is third (120.4). Moreover, foul-shooting opportunities could prove to be quite rare for the Hoosiers. They are 286th in the nation in FTA rate (32.6), while the Hawkeyes are among the nation’s least foul-prone teams (allowing a rate of just 25.6, ranking eighth in the country).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Hoosiers winning the first matchup 85-78. Jarrod Uthoff had a standout performance with 24 points, five rebounds, one assist, one steal, one block, and two three-pointers in the loss.
The Hawkeyes have gone 20-8 Straight Up (SU) and 14-13 Against The Spread (ATS). The Hawkeyes are an exceptional shooting team from three-point range with a .385 three-point field goal percentage, one of the highest marks in Division I. The Hawkeyes, sporting the 10th-best assist-to-turnover ratio in Division I (1.53), have proven themselves to be an extremely efficient offensive team. Crossing over to the defensive side of the court, opponents have consistently had their shots rejected by the Hawkeyes, ranking 28th in the country in blocks per game with 5.1.
Across the court, Indiana has a SU record of 23-6 and an ATS record of 15-14. Offensively, the Hoosiers have really sputtered in the last 10 games. Their season average has fallen to 82.9 points per game after averaging only 73.7 during that stretch. The Hoosiers are an excellent long-range shooting team with 293 three-point shots made (10.0 per game), ranking 12th in Division I. The Hoosiers are one of the top teams in the country at finding the open man with an average of 16.3 assists per game.
Following the Hoosiers’ latest win over Iowa, they evened up the head-to-head record over their most recent meetings, 5-5 SU. On the other hand, Iowa holds the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3. Indiana held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, Iowa never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – Iowa, ATS Winner – Iowa
Notes
The Iowa Hawkeyes average 78.8 points per game, ranking 44th in the nation. The Indiana Hoosiers rank 90th in points allowed with 68.7.
Iowa averages 80.0 points per home game (ranked 71st). Indiana allows 72.3 points per away game (ranked 92nd).
In its last game, Indiana won by a margin of 27 points. Iowa is 7-0 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Indiana has a 12-2 record in blowouts.
The Indiana Hoosiers have the third-best offensive rating in the nation (120.4). The Iowa Hawkeyes have a defensive rating of 99.0 (ranked 63rd).
Iowa has an average field goal percentage of 45.5%. Indiana is 6-4 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
On average, Iowa attempts 21.0 three pointers and Indiana attempts 24.0. Both teams have winning records when they have 20 or more three point attempts. The Iowa Hawkeyes sit at 13-5 and the Indiana Hoosiers are 17-4.
The Iowa Hawkeyes rank 10th with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.53, while the Indiana Hoosiers rank outside the top 100 (106th) with an A/TO of 1.18.
Iowa, the 74th-ranked team in rebounding, register an average of 38.3 rebounds per game. Indiana does worse, ranked 104th with 37.6.
Iowa ranks 90th in defensive rebounding. When it comes to offensive rebounds, Indiana ranks 84th.
On average, Iowa forces a turnover rate of 19.2%. When Indiana turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 9-4 record.
