Southeastern foes will collide when the Ole Miss Rebels (18-11) take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-15) at The Pavilion at Ole Miss. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Mar. 2 and can be seen on SEC and ES3.
The Bulldogs, meanwhile, are coming off a 68-58 win over South Carolina on Saturday. Gavin Ware claimed his eighth double-double of the season with 16 points and 12 rebounds.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Bulldogs winning the first matchup 83-77. Malik Newman had a stellar game with 25 points, two assists, one steal, and seven three-pointers.
The Rebels enter the game with records of 18-11 Straight Up (SU) and 15-13 Against The Spread (ATS). Teams have a tough time keeping Ole Miss off of the offensive glass. They rank 39th in Division I in offensive rebounds. Ole Miss’s defenders rank 45th in Division I in steals with 7.6 per game.
On the other side, the Bulldogs have records of 16-10 ATS and 13-15 SU.
The Bulldogs’ win over Ole Miss in their last clash couldn’t give them the edge in the head-to-head record over their most recent meetings, where Ole Miss still leads 6-4 SU. With a 6-4 record, the Rebels also have the advantage ATS. In these last five matchups, each team was able to hold the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once.
Predictions: SU Winner – Miss, ATS Winner – Miss
Notes
“The total has gone OVER in 14 of Mississippi’s last 20 games “.
“Mississippi is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi’s last 10 games at home”.
“Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State”.
“Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State”.
“Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi State”.
“Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi State”.
“Mississippi State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi”.
Ole Miss scores 79.9 points per home game (ranked 75th). Mississippi State ranks a poor 184th in points allowed on the road, allowing 76.5 points.
Ole Miss has an average field goal percentage of 41.5%. Mississippi State is a poor 6-14 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Ole Miss Rebels rank lower for their field goal percentage (291st) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (270th), but the Mississippi State Bulldogs have a better FG% ranking (76th) than eFG% ranking (99th).
Mississippi State, the 70th-ranked team in blocked shots, registers an average of 4.4 per game. Ole Miss does worse, ranked 205th with 3.2.
Ole Miss ranks 39th in offensive rebounding. Mississippi State ranks 233rd in defensive rebounding.
On average, Mississippi State forces a turnover rate of 18.6%. When Ole Miss turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 8-4 record.
