The Auburn Tigers will be at Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in a Southeastern matchup. Action gets underway at 2:30 pm ET on Saturday, Mar. 5 and can be seen on SEC and ES3.
The Bulldogs fell to Ole Miss 86-78 on Wednesday. Gavin Ware finished with 28 points to lead the team. The Tigers, meanwhile, are coming off an awful 81-63 loss to Texas A&M on Tuesday. Tyler Harris had a good shooting night, leading the game with 20 points.
Harris has been hot for the Tigers, averaging 14.8 points, 8.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 2.0 steals, and 1.2 blocks over the past five games.
The Bulldogs come into this game 13-16 Straight Up (SU) and 16-11 Against The Spread (ATS). The Bulldogs will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Mississippi State has only averaged 64.1 points per game compared to the 75.0 they’ve averaged on the season. Expect Mississippi State to have lots of opportunities at the line against the Tigers, who are one of the most foul-prone teams in the nation with an average of 21.6 fouls per game.
On the other side, the Tigers have 11-18 SU and 12-16 ATS records. The Tigers average 77.4 points allowed per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 69.1 points per game during that span.
These conference foes will be squaring off for the first time this season. In their most recent meeting a season ago, Mississippi State came out on top, taking the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over their most recent meetings. The teams also have an even 5-5 record ATS in the most recent meetings. Neither team held the edge in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers in a single game during this span.
Predictions: SU Winner – MissSt, ATS Winner – MissSt
Notes
“Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 7 games “.
“Mississippi State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home”.
“Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Auburn”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games when playing Auburn”.
“Mississippi State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Auburn”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn”.
“Auburn is 4-10-3 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Auburn’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State”.
In its last game, Auburn lost by a margin of 18 points. Mississippi State is 5-2 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Auburn has a 2-7 record in blowouts.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs average a field goal percentage of 46.1% this season. The Auburn Tigers have a subpar record of 1-8 when opponents have a FG% of 46.1% or greater.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs rank higher based on their field goal percentage (73rd) than their effective field goal percentage (102nd). The Auburn Tigers rank higher based on their effective field goal percentage (278th) than their field goal percentage (329th).
Mississippi State ranks 71st in blocks per game with 4.3 and Auburn ranks 85th with 4.2 blocks per game.
Mississippi State has forced an average turnover percentage of 18.7% this season. Auburn has a poor 5-11 record when its TO% is 18.7% or higher.
