The Dallas Mavericks will travel to the Pepsi Center to take on the Denver Nuggets. The game gets underway at 5:00 pm ET on Sunday, Mar. 6 and will air on FSW and ALT.
The Nuggets lost a tough one against the Nets 121-120 on Friday. Emmanuel Mudiay was the game’s high scorer, finishing with 25 points. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are coming off a bitter 104-101 loss to the Kings on Thursday. Chandler Parsons had a good shooting night, leading the game with 28 points.
Kenneth Faried has been playing at a high level as of late for the Nuggets, averaging 16.8 points, 9.4 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 0.6 steals over the last five games. On the other side, the Mavericks have been led by Parsons. He has been on fire, averaging 21.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 0.8 steals, and 2.8 three-pointers in the same time frame.
The Mavericks have won both matchups against the Nuggets this season, including a 122-116 victory in their last matchup. Parsons was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points.
The Nuggets enter the game with records of 24-38 Straight Up (SU) and 32-26-4 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 24-38 SU and 32-26-4 ATS versus the Western Conference. The most recent ten-game stretch for the Nuggets has gone great. Over that span, Denver is averaging 113.1 points per game, well over their season average of 101.3.
Across the court, the Mavericks head into the game with records of 33-27-2 ATS and 33-29 SU. In Western Conference games, Dallas has gone 33-29 SU and 33-27-2 ATS. Dallas is one of the top foul-shooting teams in the league, hitting .790 of their shots from the line. When it comes to making good decisions with the ball, not many are better than the Mavericks. They have one of the top assist-to-turnover ratios in the league at 1.77.
Dallas won the last meeting this season between these two teams, moving its SU record against the Nuggets to 6-4 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. The Mavericks also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 5-3-2.
Predictions: SU Winner – Dal
Notes
“Denver is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games “.
“Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 8 games “.
“Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.
“Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games at home”.
“Denver is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas”.
“Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games when playing Dallas”.
“Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas”.
“Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas”.
Denver ranks 19th in points per game with 101.3, while Dallas ranks 15th in points allowed with an average of 102.4 given up.
On average, Denver puts up 103.4 points per home game (ranked 16th). Dallas ranks 17th in points allowed per road game with 103.6.
The Dallas Mavericks lost their last game by a three-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, the Denver Nuggets are 8-5. Dallas is 4-9 in close games this season.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Dallas Mavericks are a tremendous 20-4. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Denver Nuggets have a subpar record of 3-18.
Dallas is a losing 13-25 when it allows 100 or more points. Denver has a 21-20 record when it hits triple digits.
The Nuggets have a defensive rating of 106.3 (ranked 22nd), while the Mavericks rank eighth for their offensive rating of 105.0.
The Denver Nuggets average a field goal percentage of 43.9% this season. The Dallas Mavericks have a losing record of 13-23 when opponents have a FG% of 43.9% or greater.
On average, the Denver Nuggets attempt 23.0 three point field goals per game and the Dallas Mavericks attempt 28.0 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, Denver has a poor record of 9-17, while Dallas is 23-22.
Denver has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.56 this season (ranked 16th). Dallas ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.77 (ranked fifth).
The Nuggets rank ninth in rebounds per game with 44.6, while the Mavericks rank 17th with 43.0 per game.
Denver is ranked 18th in defensive rebounds, while Dallas ranks 28th in offensive rebounds.
Dallas has forced an average turnover percentage of 13.8% this season. Denver has a subpar 14-24 record when its TOV% is 13.8% or higher.
