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Golden State Warriors – Dallas Mavericks Preview – 03.18.2016

The Golden State Warriors (61-6) will attempt to keep their six-game winning streak alive when they meet the Dallas Mavericks (34-34) at the American Airlines Center. The game begins at 8:30 pm ET on Friday, Mar. 18 and will air on FSW and GS2.

The Mavericks lost a winnable game to the Cavaliers 99-98 on Wednesday. David Lee had a solid performance for Dallas, recording 20 points, three rebounds, and one assist. The Warriors, meanwhile, are coming off a 121-85 win against the Knicks on Wednesday. Stephen Curry led the game in scoring by recording 34 points on 12-for-20 shooting.

Over the last five games, Dirk Nowitzki has really been playing well for the Mavericks, averaging 24.0 points, 7.2 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 0.8 steals, 1.0 block, and 1.4 three-pointers.

Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Warriors had the upper hand in the most recent game, a blowout 127-107 win. Klay Thompson scored a game-high 45 points.

The Mavericks have gone 34-34 Straight Up (SU) and 35-31-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 34-34 SU and 35-31-2 ATS against the Western Conference. The Mavericks are one of the best in the NBA in terms of free throw percentage, shooting an impressive .793 from the free throw line. The Mavericks, sporting the fifth-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the NBA (1.80), have proven themselves to be an extremely efficient offensive team.

On the other side, the Warriors head into the game with records of 36-28-3 ATS and 61-6 SU. Against the Western Conference, Golden State is 61-6 SU and 36-28-3 ATS. Golden State is the top shooting team in the league, converting .489 of its shots from the floor. The Warriors are a force on the boards, grabbing an average of 46.4 rebounds per game. When it comes to making good decisions with the ball, not many are better than the Warriors. They have one of the top assist-to-turnover ratios in the league at 1.96. Shifting to the other side of the court, the Warriors have one of the best opponent field-goal percentages in the league at .435.

In their previous meeting this season, Golden State beat Dallas, moving its SU record against the Mavericks to 8-2 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. The Warriors also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 8-2.

Predictions: SU Winner – GS

Notes

Golden State’s offense and Dallas’ defense are well matched, ranking zeroth in points per game and points allowed per game respectively. Golden State scores an average of 0.0 points per game, while Dallas allows 0.0 points per game.

Golden State and Dallas are well matched, ranking zeroth in points per away game and points allowed at home respectively. Golden State puts up an average of 0.0 points on the road, while Dallas allows 0.0 points at home on average.

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Dallas Mavericks are a superb 21-5. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Golden State Warriors have a losing record of 1-4.

The Dallas Mavericks have a subpar 13-29 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Golden State Warriors are 60-2 when they hit triple digits.

The Warriors have a defensive rating of 101.3, fifth-best in the NBA. The Mavericks also rank in the top half of the league for their offensive rating of 104.9 (ranked 10th).

Golden State beats Dallas in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Warriors average 102.1 possessions and 1.133 points per possession, while the Mavericks average 97.6 possessions with 1.049 points per possession.

The Golden State Warriors have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking first in the league with an EFF% of 56.2%. When their opponents record a similar or higher EFF%, the Dallas Mavericks have a subpar 1-9 record.

On average, Dallas attempts 28.0 three pointers and Golden State attempts 31.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Mavericks are 24-25 while the Warriors have a stellar 56-5 record.

The Golden State Warriors average 6.0 blocks per game, the fourth-ranked team in the league. The Dallas Mavericks rank a lowly 30th in blocking with just 3.5 per game.

The Golden State Warriors are the NBA’s best defensive rebounding team. The Dallas Mavericks rank 28th in offensive rebounding.

The Golden State Warriors average 8.4 steals per game, ranked eighth in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks are an even 18-18 when they allow at least 8 steals.

Written by GMS Previews

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