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Charlotte Hornets – Brooklyn Nets Preview – 03.22.2016

The Brooklyn Nets welcome the Charlotte Hornets to the Barclays Center. Action begins at 7:30 pm ET on Tuesday, Mar. 22 and can be seen on YES and FxS.

The Nets are hoping for a better outcome after their 115-103 loss to the Pistons on Saturday. Thaddeus Young was the game’s leading scorer with 24 points. The Hornets, meanwhile, are coming off a 91-88 win against the Spurs on Monday. Jeremy Lin led the game in scoring by registering 29 points on 11-for-18 shooting.

Bojan Bogdanovic and Young have been better than usual over the last five games for the Nets. During that stretch, Bogdanovic has averaged 25.5 points, 5.2 rebounds, 4.0 assists, and 3.0 three-pointers, while Young has recorded 18.4 points, 11.6 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.6 steals, and 1.4 blocks a game. Nicolas Batum has been hot for the Hornets. In the same five-game span, he is averaging 20.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, 7.0 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.8 blocks, and 2.6 three-pointers.

The Nets may have trouble getting to the line in this one. They’re 26th in the NBA in free throw attempt rate (24.1), while Charlotte is among the NBA’s least foul-prone squads (yielding a free throw attempt rate of just 24.9, fifth in the NBA).

The Hornets have emerged victorious in both games against the Nets this year, including a 104-96 win the last time these two teams met. Kemba Walker was the game’s top overall scorer with 28 points.

The Nets have gone 19-50 Straight Up (SU) and 34-34-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 19-50 SU and 34-34-1 ATS against the Eastern Conference. The Nets have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 110.5 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 98.3 points per game.

Over on the other bench, the Hornets have a record of 36-32-1 ATS and 39-30 SU. Against the Eastern Conference, Charlotte is 39-30 SU and 36-32-1 ATS. The Hornets rely heavily on three-pointers on offense, ranking fourth in the league with 736 made (10.0 per game). The Hornets average 101.0 points allowed per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 111.9 points per game during that span. Taking care of the basketball is something the Hornets do very well. They average the fewest turnovers per game in the NBA at 12.1.

In their previous meeting this season, Charlotte beat Brooklyn, bringing the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over the last 10 meetings. With a 6-4 record, the Hornets have the advantage ATS.

Predictions: SU Winner – Cha

Notes

On average, Charlotte scores 103.1 points per game (ranked 11th). Brooklyn ranks 23rd in points allowed per game with 104.8.

Brooklyn ranks 23rd in points allowed per home game (103.6 PPG), while Charlotte ranks 16th in points per away game with 100.4.

When giving up fewer than 100 points, the Brooklyn Nets have an 8-7 record. When they don’t reach the century mark, the Charlotte Hornets have an underachieving record of 8-24.

When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Nets are just 11-43 this season. Charlotte is a superb 32-6 when it reaches the century mark.

The Nets have an offensive rating of 101.6 (ranked 27th). The Hornets rank seventh for their defensive rating of 102.2.

Charlotte beats Brooklyn in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Hornets average 98.0 possessions and 1.051 points per possession, while the Nets average 96.8 possessions with 1.016 points per possession.

Charlotte has an average effective field goal percentage of 49.8%. Brooklyn is an abysmal 12-39 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

The Brooklyn Nets average 17.0 three point attempts per game and have a losing 1-3 record when attempting at least 25 in a game. The Charlotte Hornets average 29.0 attempts and have a winning 37-24 record when attempting 25 or more.

The Brooklyn Nets rank 20th with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.55. The Charlotte Hornets have a higher A/TO (1.76), ranking sixth.

The Brooklyn Nets rebound 42.2 times per game and are ranked 23rd. Ranked 14th, the Charlotte Hornets rebound 44.0 times per game.

Brooklyn is ranked 25th in defensive rebounds, while Charlotte ranks 26th in offensive rebounds.

Charlotte has forced an average turnover percentage of 13.4% this season. Brooklyn has a subpar 13-29 record when its TOV% is 13.4% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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