The Dallas Mavericks (35-37) will have their hands full against the top scoring defense in the league when they take on the Sacramento Kings (28-44) at Sleep Train Arena. Action begins at 6:00 pm ET on Sunday, Mar. 27 and can be seen on FSW and CSA.
The Kings dismantled the Suns 116-94 on Friday. DeMarcus Cousins was a key piece, recording 29 points and 11 rebounds to notch his 45th double-double of the season. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are coming off a 128-120 loss at the hands of the Warriors on Friday. Wesley Matthews had a good shooting night, leading the team with 26 points.
Dirk Nowitzki has been on a tear for the Mavericks, averaging 25.6 points, 8.2 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.8 blocks, and 2.0 three-pointers over the past five games.
The Kings have won two out of three against the Mavericks this season, including a close 104-101 victory in their last matchup. Chandler Parsons scored a game-high 28 points.
The Kings are hoping to improve on their records of 28-44 Straight Up (SU) and 31-39-2 Against The Spread (ATS). Even though they have a 13-22 record ATS, they are at home against Western Conference opponents. The Kings have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the league in offense with 106.5 points per game.
In the other locker room, Dallas has a SU record of 35-37 and an ATS record of 38-32-2. Dallas has records of 35-37 SU and 38-32-2 ATS against the West. The Mavericks are shooting lights out from the foul line so far, with a .796 free throw percentage that ranks third in the NBA. The Mavericks rarely make costly errors handling the ball. They have the third-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the league at 1.81.
Sacramento beat Dallas in their most recent meeting this season, but the win was not enough to overtake Dallas in the recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 3-7 SU over the most recent 10 meetings. On the other hand, with an 8-1-1 record, the Kings have the advantage ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – Dal
Notes
“Sacramento is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games “.
“Sacramento is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento’s last 5 games “.
“Sacramento is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home”.
“Sacramento is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home”.
“Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas”.
“Sacramento is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento’s last 9 games when playing Dallas”.
“Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas”.
“Sacramento is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento’s last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas”.
Sacramento puts up an average of 106.5 points per game (ranked third). Dallas ranks 18th in points allowed per game with 103.8.
On average, Sacramento scores 106.7 points per home game (ranked fourth). Dallas ranks 16th in points allowed per road game with 104.4.
In its last game, Sacramento won by a 22-point margin. Dallas is 3-8 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Sacramento has a 4-5 record in blowouts.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Dallas Mavericks are a formidable 21-5. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Sacramento Kings have a subpar record of 4-17.
Dallas is a losing 14-32 when it gives up 100 or more points. Sacramento has a 24-27 record when it hits triple digits.
The Kings have a defensive rating of 106.6 (ranked 23rd), while the Mavericks rank ninth for their offensive rating of 105.3.
The Sacramento Kings have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking seventh in the league with a FG% of 46.2%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Dallas Mavericks have a poor 9-25 record.
Sacramento averages 22.0 three point attempts per game, and Dallas attempts 28.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Kings have a poor 8-15 record while the Mavericks have a 25-28 record.
The Sacramento Kings rank 18th with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.57. The Dallas Mavericks have a higher A/TO (1.81), ranking third.
The Sacramento Kings rebound 44.5 times per game and are ranked eighth. Ranked 18th, the Dallas Mavericks rebound 43.2 times per game.
The Dallas Mavericks rank 26th in offensive rebounding, while the Sacramento Kings rank ninth in defensive rebounding.
Sacramento ranks eighth in forced turnovers with an average rate of 15.1%. Dallas has a 9-13 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.
