The Dallas Mavericks will travel to the Pepsi Center to take on the Denver Nuggets. The game starts at 9:00 pm ET on Monday, Mar. 28 and will air on FSW and AL2.
The Nuggets lost to the Clippers 105-90 on Sunday. D.J. Augustin recorded 18 points and 10 assists, earning his second double-double of the year. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are coming off an ugly 133-111 loss at the hands of the Kings on Sunday. Devin Harris posted 11 points, four assists, and three steals.
Dirk Nowitzki has been on a tear over the last five games for the Mavericks, averaging 24.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 0.5 steals, 1.0 block, and 2.5 three-pointers.
The Mavericks have won two out of three against the Nuggets this season, but dropped their most recent game, a close 116-114 loss. Kenneth Faried recorded a double-double with 25 points and 20 rebounds.
The Nuggets look to improve upon their records of 31-43 Straight Up (SU) and 39-31-4 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 31-43 SU and 39-31-4 ATS versus the Western Conference. Denver’s defense is doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 113.8 points per game, well above their season average of 104.9.
Across the court, Dallas has a SU record of 35-38 and an ATS record of 38-33-2. Dallas has records of 35-38 SU and 38-33-2 ATS against the West. Dallas is one of the top foul-shooting teams in the league, hitting .796 of their shots from the line. The Mavericks rarely make costly errors handling the ball. They have the third-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the league at 1.81.
Denver won the last meeting this season between these two teams, evening up the two teams’ head-to-head record over the last 10 games. The teams also have an even record ATS in the last 10.
Predictions: SU Winner – Dal
Notes
“Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games “.
“Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.
“Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver’s last 19 games at home”.
“Denver is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas”.
“Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas”.
“The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 8 games when playing Dallas”.
“Denver is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas”.
“Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas”.
Denver scores an average of 102.3 points per game (ranked 17th). Dallas ranks 19th in points allowed per game with 104.2.
On average, Denver puts up 104.7 points per home game (ranked 15th). Dallas ranks 17th in points allowed per road game with 105.2.
The Dallas Mavericks lost their last game by 22 points. In games decided by a margin of 18 points or more, the Denver Nuggets are 3-6. Dallas is 3-9 in blowouts this season.
When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Mavericks are 21-5 on the season. When the Nuggets score fewer than 100, they are an underachieving 3-21.
Dallas is a losing 14-33 when it allows 100 or more points. Denver has a 28-22 record when it hits triple digits.
The Nuggets have a defensive rating of 106.7 (ranked 23rd), while the Mavericks rank 10th for their offensive rating of 105.3.
The Denver Nuggets average a field goal percentage of 44.2% this season. The Dallas Mavericks have a subpar record of 12-31 when opponents have a FG% of 44.2% or greater.
On average, the Denver Nuggets attempt 23.0 three point field goals per game and the Dallas Mavericks attempt 28.0 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, Denver has a 12-18 record and Dallas has a 25-28 record.
Denver has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.59 this season (ranked 16th). Dallas ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.81 (ranked third).
The Nuggets rank seventh in rebounds per game with 44.6, while the Mavericks rank 18th with 43.2 per game.
Denver is ranked 21st in defensive rebounds, while Dallas ranks 26th in offensive rebounds.
Dallas has forced an average turnover percentage of 13.5% this season. Denver has a losing 18-28 record when its TOV% is 13.5% or higher.
