It will be a battle of division foes when the Denver Nuggets (33-47) welcome the Utah Jazz (39-40) to the Pepsi Center. Action starts at 5:00 pm ET on Sunday, Apr. 10 and will air on RT and ALT.
The Nuggets come into this game on a high note after beating the Spurs 102-98 on Friday. Emmanuel Mudiay had a good game, putting up 20 points, six rebounds, and five assists for the Nuggets. The Jazz, meanwhile, are coming off a tough 102-99 loss to the Clippers on Friday. Gordon Hayward played well, accounting for his fourth double-double of the season with 24 points and 13 rebounds.
The Jazz have won all three contests against the Nuggets this season, including an 85-81 win the last time these two teams met. Derrick Favors played a big role with 16 points and 11 rebounds.
The Nuggets enter the game with records of 33-47 Straight Up (SU) and 41-35-4 Against The Spread (ATS). In their last 10 games, they are 7-3 ATS. So far, division foes have given the Nuggets offense a hard time. During that span, Denver has only averaged 94.5 points per game compared to its 102.2 season average. Denver’s defense has been on fire lately, allowing an average of 90.8 points per game, well under their season average of 105.0.
On the other side, Utah has a SU record of 39-40 and an ATS record of 40-38-1. Utah has been particularly bad ATS over its past 10 matchups, going 3-7. Utah’s defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking second in the NBA with only 95.9 points allowed per game.
With the Jazz’s last win against Denver, their SU record against the Nuggets moves to 7-3 over the last 10 meetings. Furthermore, with an 8-2 record, the Jazz have the advantage ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – Uta
Notes
“Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games “.
“Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games “.
“Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.
“Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 16 of Denver’s last 23 games at home”.
“Denver is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Utah”.
“Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver’s last 8 games when playing Utah”.
“Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah”.
“Denver is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Utah”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver’s last 8 games when playing at home against Utah”.
Denver scores an average of 102.2 points per game (ranked 16th), while Utah gives up 95.9 points per game (ranked second).
Denver ranks 17th in points per home game with 104.2 points, while Utah ranks fourth in points allowed on the road with 99.0.
The Utah Jazz lost their last game by a three-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, the Denver Nuggets are 10-5. Utah is 6-8 in close games this season.
When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Jazz are 36-13 on the season. When the Nuggets score fewer than 100, they are a subpar 3-23.
Utah is an underachieving 3-27 when it allows 100 or more points. Denver has a 30-24 record when it hits triple digits.
The Nuggets have a defensive rating of 107.0 (ranked 24th), while the Jazz rank 15th for their offensive rating of 103.9.
Denver has an average field goal percentage of 44.2%. Utah is an abysmal 9-35 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Denver Nuggets average 23.0 three point attempts per game, while the Utah Jazz attempt 23.0 per game. When attempting 25 or more three pointers in a game, Denver is a subpar 13-21, while Utah is an even 17-17.
Denver has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.61 this season (ranked 15th), while Utah ranks lower at 29th with an A/TO of 1.32.
The Nuggets rank seventh in rebounds per game with 44.6, while the Jazz rank 17th with 43.3 per game.
The Utah Jazz rank 10th in offensive rebounding, while the Denver Nuggets rank 20th in defensive rebounding.
Utah has forced an average turnover percentage of 14.2% this season. Denver has a losing 15-27 record when its TOV% is 14.2% or higher.
