A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Miami Heat (46-33) when they compete against the Orlando Magic (34-45). The game starts at 6:00 pm ET on Sunday, Apr. 10 and can be seen on SUN and FxF.
The Heat lost a close one to the Magic 112-109 on Friday. Hassan Whiteside recorded 13 points and 16 rebounds, earning his 40th double-double of the year.
Nikola Vucevic has been on fire over the last five games for the Magic, averaging 23.0 points, 8.2 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 1.2 steals, and 1.4 blocks.
The Heat look to build on their records of 46-33 Straight Up (SU) and 41-37-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 4-10 SU and 6-8 ATS when playing their division. Miami has averaged 110.4 points per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 100.0. The Heat are one of the best in the NBA in terms of field-goal percentage, shooting an impressive .470 from the field. As for the Miami defense, it’s been a struggle for opposing teams to score on the Heat. The 98.5 points that Miami’s defense allows per game makes them the fifth-ranked defense in the league. The Heat prevent teams from making three-pointers, ranking third in the league with 588 total three-pointers allowed (7.0 per game). Opponents have consistently had their shots rejected by the Heat, who lead the league in blocks per game with 6.5.
Across the court, the Magic head into the game with records of 45-34 ATS and 34-45 SU. Against fellow division members, Orlando has a 9-6 SU and ATS record.
With the Magic’s last win against Miami, Orlando is still behind in the head-to-head record over the past 10 meetings, 2-8 SU. The Heat also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 5-4-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia
Notes
“Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games “.
“Miami is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games “.
“Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.
“Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games at home”.
“Miami is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Orlando”.
“Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Orlando”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando’s last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami”.
Miami ranks 23rd in points per game with 100.0, while Orlando ranks 18th in points allowed with an average of 103.4 given up.
Miami ranks 20th in points per home game with 102.8 points, while Orlando ranks 17th in points allowed on the road with 104.6.
The Orlando Magic won their last game by a three-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, the Miami Heat are 7-5. Orlando is 6-10 in close games this season.
Orlando has a solid 22-8 record when it allows under 100 points this season. Miami is 15-22 when it puts up under 100.
The Orlando Magic have an underachieving 12-37 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Miami Heat are 31-11 when they hit the century mark.
The Magic have an offensive rating of 103.1 (ranked 22nd), while the Heat rank ninth for their defensive rating of 102.4.
The Miami Heat have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking fourth in the league with a FG% of 47.0%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Orlando Magic have a subpar 6-27 record.
The Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. Miami is 11th and fourth in the league for EFF% and FG% respectively, while Orlando ranks 16th and 12th in these categories.
Miami makes an average of 20.9 assists per game (ranked 23rd). Orlando ranks higher in assists with 23.6 (ranked seventh).
Miami averages a league-best 6.5 blocks per game. Orlando ranks 15th with 5.1 blocks per game.
Miami is ranked 22nd when it comes to offensive rebounding. Orlando ranks 18th in defensive rebounds.
The Miami Heat average 6.7 steals per game. When giving up 6 or more steals, the Orlando Magic have a losing record (21-38) this season.
