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Dallas Mavericks – Utah Jazz Preview – 04.11.2016

The Dallas Mavericks will travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to take on the Utah Jazz. The game gets underway at 9:00 pm ET on Monday, Apr. 11 and will air on RT and FSW.

The Jazz were victorious over the Nuggets 100-84 on Sunday. Gordon Hayward was the game’s high scorer with 22 points on 8-for-16 shooting. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are coming off a 98-91 loss at the hands of the Clippers on Sunday. Raymond Felton had a team-high 21 points.

The two teams have split their matchups this season. The Jazz had the upper hand in the most recent game, a close 121-119 win. Rodney Hood was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points.

The Jazz enter the game with records of 40-40 Straight Up (SU) and 41-38-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games. The Utah defense overall is very good at home, only giving up 92.8 points per game.

On the other side, Dallas has a SU record of 41-39 and an ATS record of 43-35-2. Dallas has done particularly well ATS over its past 10 matchups, going 7-3. The Mavericks are shooting lights out from the foul line so far, with a .794 free throw percentage that ranks third in the NBA. When it comes to making good decisions with the ball, not many are better than the Mavericks. They have one of the top assist-to-turnover ratios in the league at 1.79. Dallas’s defense has allowed an average of 90.7 points per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 102.8.

The Jazz’s win over Dallas in their last game couldn’t give them the edge in the head-to-head record over the past 10 meetings, where the Mavericks still lead 8-2 SU. Additionally, with a 6-3-1 record, the Mavericks have the advantage ATS.

Predictions: SU Winner – Dal

Notes

“Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games “.

“Utah is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games “.

“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah’s last 6 games “.

“Utah is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home”.

“Utah is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home”.

“The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah’s last 11 games at home”.

“Utah is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas”.

“Utah is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas”.

“Utah is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas”.

Utah ranks 28th in points per game with 97.8, while Dallas ranks 14th in points allowed with an average of 102.8 given up.

On average, Utah scores 98.7 points per home game (ranked 27th), while Dallas allows 103.5 points per away game (ranked 13th).

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Utah Jazz are a solid 37-13. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Dallas Mavericks have an underachieving record of 14-22.

The Utah Jazz have a subpar 3-27 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Dallas Mavericks are 27-17 when they hit triple digits.

The Mavericks have a defensive rating of 104.8 (ranked 16th). The Jazz rank 15th for their offensive rating of 104.0.

Dallas beats Utah in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Mavericks average 97.4 possessions and 1.052 points per possession, while the Jazz average 94.0 possessions with 1.040 points per possession.

Utah has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.1%. Dallas is a poor 11-26 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

Utah attempts an average of 23.0 three pointers per game, and Dallas attempts 28.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Jazz have an 18-17 record while the Mavericks have a 30-29 record.

The Dallas Mavericks rank fifth with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.79, while the Utah Jazz rank near the bottom of the league at 29th with an A/TO of 1.32.

The Jazz rank 17th in rebounds per game with 43.4, while the Mavericks rank 19th with 43.0 per game.

Utah is ranked 23rd in defensive rebounds, while Dallas ranks 26th in offensive rebounds.

Utah has forced an average turnover percentage of 14.2% this season. Dallas is an even 15-15 when its TOV% is 14.2% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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