Tim Adleman (0-0, 3.00 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (12-17) go up against Tyler Cravy (0-0, 3.18 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (11-17) in the second of a four-game division series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 9-5, and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 6 and will air on FSWI and FSOH.
In his last start, Adleman pitched 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out six and walking two in a 6-5 victory over the Pirates. Jay Bruce (.245, 12 Rs, 5 HRs, 21 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. The Brewers were also victorious the last time Cravy pitched. He went 1.0 inning, giving up one run and striking out two in a 10-5 victory over the Twins. Chris Carter (.274, 18 Rs, 10 HRs, 22 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment. The Reds have a SU record of 2-7 against teams in their division. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Reds has gone great. Over that span, Cincinnati is averaging 0.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 0.0. The Reds are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 20 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 0.0 during that span, compared to its 0.0 season average.
Against fellow NL Central members, the Brewers are 6-11 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 0.0 runs per game, above their 0.0 season average. The Brewers average 3.8 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Milwaukee pitchers. They’ve allowed 0.0 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 0.0. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in baseball with an NL-high 6.6 strikeouts per game.
So far this season, the Reds are 1-0 against the Brewers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL
Notes
When leading after seven innings, Milwaukee is 4-5, while Cincinnati is 6-8.
The Brewers are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Reds have a record of 1-5 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 2-16. The Reds have a 3-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 28 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 14th with 30.
Cincinnati and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in hits. Cincinnati sits at 27th with 7.55 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 22nd with 7.86.
Ranking 25th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.687). Milwaukee ranks in the top half with an OPS of .734.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 9-15, well-matched with the Reds who are 10-16 when allowing at least one homer.
