In the second of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (16-12) and the Philadelphia Phillies (16-14) at Marlins Park, Tom Koehler (2-3, 7.25 ERA) and Jeremy Hellickson (2-2, 4.88 ERA) get the ball. The Marlins won the last game 6-4, and Miami leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 7 and will air on CSPh and FSFL.
In his most recent outing, Koehler pitched 2.1 innings, giving up eight runs and walking two in a 14-5 loss to the Brewers. Christian Yelich (.337, 18 Rs, 4 HRs, 16 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. The Phillies were also unsuccessful the last time Hellickson pitched. He struggled, going 5.1 innings, allowing six runs, striking out five and walking four in a 10-3 loss to the Cardinals. Odubel Herrera (.330, 17 Rs, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Phillies, going 3 for 5 yesterday.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Against teams in the NL East, the Marlins have a SU record of 7-6. Over their past 10 games, Miami’s offense has been playing lights out, averaging 0.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 0.0. Over their past 10 games, Miami’s pitchers have been playing lights out, only allowing 0.0 runs per game, below their season average of 0.0.
Against divisional foes, the Phillies are 6-7 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 0.0 runs per game, above their 0.0 season average. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 0.0 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 0.0.
The only other game between the two teams went Miami’s way.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIA
Notes
Miami has won 40% (4-6) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Philadelphia has won 46% (6-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 6-7 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-9. The Phillies have a 4-11 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 25 this season. Miami ranks 17th with 28 home runs.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in hits, notching 7.40 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.57.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.648). Miami ranks in the top 10 with an OPS of .767.
The Phillies are 6-11 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 8-5 when they allow at least one homer.
