Aaron Nola (2-2, 3.13 ERA) and Tim Adleman (1-0, 2.45 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (21-15) and the Cincinnati Reds (14-21) at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 3-2, and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 14 and can be seen on CSPh and FSOH.
Nola pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 6-5 win over the Marlins. Adleman went 5.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking three in a 5-1 win over the Brewers in his most recent start. Adam Duvall (.258, 13 Rs, 6 HRs, 11 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Reds, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run.
The odds for Philadelphia and Cincinnati are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 0.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 0.0 runs per game. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 0.0 runs per game, well under their season average of 0.0. The Phillies are the fifth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.174 so far this season.
Offensively, the Reds have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 0.0 runs per game by averaging 0.0 during that stretch. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 23 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Reds allow 0.0 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 0.0 runs per game during that span. The Reds have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 7.1 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Reds lead the season series, 3-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – CIN
Notes
Cincinnati has won 41% (7-10) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Philadelphia has won 53% (8-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Reds managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Phillies who are heading in with a 6-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 4-16. The Phillies have a 5-12 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 28 this season. Cincinnati ranks 15th with 37 home runs.
Philadelphia and Cincinnati both rank near the bottom of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 29th with 7.42 hits per game and Cincinnati ranks 28th with 7.46.
Philadelphia and Cincinnati both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 29th with an OPS of .648, and Cincinnati ranks 23rd with an OPS of .691.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 11-19. When the Phillies allow one or more homers, they have a 9-12 record.
