Zach Davies (1-3, 6.29 ERA) and Cesar Vargas (0-2, 3.54 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (15-22) and the San Diego Padres (17-21) at Miller Park. The Padres won the last game 8-7, and San Diego leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 15 and can be seen on FSWI and FSSD.
Davies pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out one and walking three in a 10-2 win over the Marlins. Vargas went 4.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out one and walking three in an 8-7 defeat to the Cubs in his most recent start. Melvin Upton Jr. (.282, 16 Rs, 5 HRs, 16 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Padres, going 4 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.
The odds for Milwaukee and San Diego are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 0.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 0.0 runs per game. Milwaukee is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 24 bases. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 0.0 runs per game, well under their season average of 0.0.
Offensively, the Padres have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 0.0 runs per game by averaging 0.0 during that stretch. The Padres are an excellent base stealing team with 25 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Padres allow 0.0 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 0.0 runs per game during that span.
The Padres lead the season series, 2-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL
Notes
San Diego recorded at least two errors for the eighth time this season.
The Brewers managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Padres who are coming in with a 7-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 2-18. The Padres have a 5-15 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, San Diego has hit 34 this season. Milwaukee ranks 13th with 40 home runs.
Ranking 26th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in hits, notching 7.68 per game. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 8.06.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.659). Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .739.
The Padres are 7-11 when they allow at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 11-19 record.
