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Miami Marlins – Philadelphia Phillies Preview – 05.18.2016

Jeremy Hellickson (3-2, 4.12 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (23-17) meet Tom Koehler (2-3, 5.14 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (21-18) in the last of a three-game division series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 3-1, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 18 and will air on CSPh and FSFL.

In his most recent outing, Hellickson pitched 7.0 innings, allowing two runs (two unearned), striking out nine and walking one in a 3-2 victory over the Reds. The Marlins were unsuccessful the last time Koehler pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 5.2 innings, giving up one run, striking out four and walking five in a 5-3 loss to the Nationals.

Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Against teams in the NL East, the Phillies have a SU record of 9-12. Philadelphia has averaged 0.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 0.0. The most recent 10 game stretch for Philadelphia’s pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Philadelphia’s opponents are averaging 0.0 runs per game, below their season average of 0.0.

Against divisional rivals, the Marlins are 12-8 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 0.0 runs per game, above their 0.0 season average. The top road hitting team in the NL are the Marlins, who average 10.1 hits in games away from home. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Miami pitchers. They’ve allowed 0.0 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 0.0.

The Phillies are 3-2 against the Marlins this season.

Predictions: SU Winner – MIA

Notes

When leading after seven innings, Philadelphia is 8-8, while Miami is 7-9.

Having scored one run in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Phillies have a 9-0 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.

When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 16-3. The Phillies have a 13-2 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 29th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 132 this season. Miami ranks 19th with 160 runs.

Ranking 26th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 101 this season. Miami ranks in the top half with 120.

When the Phillies hit at least one home run, the team is 17-8. Miami has the same record when it hits one or more homers.

Written by GMS Previews

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