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New York Mets – Detroit Tigers Preview – 08.06.2016

Matt Boyd (2-2, 4.71 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (60-49) meet Logan Verrett (3-6, 4.20 ERA) and the New York Mets (56-53) in the second of a three-game interleague series at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 4-3, and Detroit leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 6 and will air on FSDT and SNY.

In his most recent outing, Boyd pitched 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out six and walking one in a 14-6 victory over the Astros. Miguel Cabrera (.310, 64 Rs, 25 HRs, 71 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. The Mets were unsuccessful the last time Verrett pitched. He tossed 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out two and walking three in a 6-5 loss to the Yankees. Jay Bruce (.260, 62 Rs, 26 HRs, 83 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.

Detroit, a -154 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is nine runs. The Tigers perform well as a favorite with a 29-12 record and have an overall money line of +1,501. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (3-1). Detroit has averaged 6.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.8.

Switching gears, the Mets come into this game with a win percentage of .455 when playing as the underdog (15-18) and an overall money line of -940. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-3 record when playing as the underdog and a SU record of 4-6. They also allow just 2.6 walks per game, best in the NL.

The only other game between the two teams went Detroit’s way. The Tigers will take on a right-hander (Verrett) in this game and have a 43-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Boyd will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 13-14 record against lefty starters this season.

Predictions: SU Winner – DET, O/U – Over

Notes

New York has won 51% (20-19) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Detroit has won 57% (29-22) of its games when taking a late lead.

The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Tigers have a 21-30 record when opponents give up two walks or less.

When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 36-9. The Tigers have a 46-10 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 28th in runs, New York has earned 405 this season. Detroit ranks seventh with 523 runs.

Ranking 17th, Detroit is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 322 this season. New York ranks in the top half with 335.

The Tigers are 50-28 when they hit at least one home run. The Mets perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 48-26 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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