In the second of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (47-62) and the Philadelphia Phillies (51-60) at Petco Park, Paul Clemens (1-2, 4.70 ERA) and Jake Thompson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) get the ball. The Phillies won the last game 5-4, and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 8:40 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 6 and will air on CSPh and FSSD.
In his last start, Clemens pitched 4.1 innings, allowing two runs, striking out five and walking one in a 3-2 loss to the Reds. Wil Myers (.279, 71 Rs, 21 HRs, 67 RBIs, 21 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. This is the first opportunity for Thompson to take the mound this season. Maikel Franco (.253, 44 Rs, 20 HRs, 66 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two runs.
San Diego is a small +100 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Padres are in an interesting position this season. While it has a notable overall money line (+250), its record as the underdog (36-56) is less impressive. The Padres are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 97 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Across the field, the Phillies have a record of 17-13 when they are favored and are +382 overall with the money line. They also allow just 2.7 walks per game, third-best in the NL.
In their previous five games this season, the Phillies have a 4-1 record. The Padres will take on a right-hander (Thompson) in this game and have a 32-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Clemens will take the mound against the Phillies, who have a 39-48 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
San Diego is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego’s last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
In their last game, the Phillies won by a margin of one run. The Padres are 13-22 in one-run games. The Phillies have a 22-15 record in close games.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Phillies have a 9-27 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 8-43. The Phillies have an 11-48 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 24th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 108 this season. San Diego ranks 16th with 128 home runs.
San Diego and Philadelphia both rank in the top half of the league in hits. San Diego sits at 11th with 8.22 hits per game and Philadelphia ranks 14th with 7.97.
San Diego and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. San Diego sits at 25th with an OPS of .710, and Philadelphia ranks 29th with an OPS of .680.
The Phillies are 20-47 when they allow at least one home run. The Padres perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 24-45 record.