In the last of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (44-66) and the Milwaukee Brewers (49-59) at Chase Field, Archie Bradley (4-7, 4.75 ERA) and Jimmy Nelson (6-10, 3.74 ERA) take the mound. The Brewers won the last game 15-6, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 7 and will air on FSAZ and FSWI.
In his last start, Bradley pitched 3.1 innings, giving up eight runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking two in a 14-1 loss to the Nationals. Jake Lamb (.282, 55 Rs, 23 HRs, 70 RBIs, 4 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. The Brewers were unsuccessful against the Padres 7-3 the last time Nelson pitched. He went 4.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out four and walking four. Ryan Braun (.324, 55 Rs, 18 HRs, 56 RBIs, 13 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Brewers, going 3 for 4 yesterday with three runs, two home runs, seven RBIs, and one stolen base.
Arizona is a -120 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. The Diamondbacks are 21-23 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -2,015. The Diamondbacks rank third in the NL in hits with 9.1 per game. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Arizona pitchers. The Diamondbacks have given up an average of 7.5 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 5.4 runs per game.
Switching gears, the Brewers come into this game with a win percentage of .410 when playing as the underdog (32-46) and an overall money line of -398. The Brewers have racked up 112 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league.
The Brewers have gotten the better of the Diamondbacks in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. The Diamondbacks will take on a right-hander (Nelson) in this game and have a 30-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Bradley. They sport a 28-45 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
Arizona has won 38% (21-34) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Milwaukee has won 45% (21-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Diamondbacks have a record of 4-4 when opponents’ pitchers have four strikeouts or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 31-12. The Brewers have a 40-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 443 this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 483.
Ranking 25th, Arizona is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 300 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at third with 410.
When the Diamondbacks hit at least one home run, they are 36-36. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 38-26 record.
