In the third of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (49-62) and the Atlanta Braves (43-70) at Miller Park, Chase Anderson (6-10, 5.01 ERA) and Joel De La Cruz (0-4, 3.41 ERA) get the start. The Braves won the last game 2-1, and Atlanta leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and will air on FSWI and FSSE.
In his last start, Anderson pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out five and walking two in a 3-2 loss to the Diamondbacks. Chris Carter (.217, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 61 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3. The Braves were unsuccessful against the Cardinals 1-0 the last time De La Cruz pitched. He went 5.1 innings, allowing one run, striking out two and walking five. Matt Kemp (.260, 60 Rs, 24 HRs, 74 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Milwaukee is a -147 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Brewers have a 16-15 record and overall money line at -638. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the favorite (1-3). They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 120 steals.
Across the field, the Braves have a subpar record of 40-60 when they are the underdog and are -432 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 7-3 SU and has played well as the underdog with a 7-2 record. Atlanta has been playing better lately, averaging 4.8 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.5. The Braves average just 7.6 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the NL. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Atlanta pitchers. They’ve allowed 3.4 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.6.
In their previous five games this season, the Brewers have a 3-2 record. The Brewers will take on a right-hander (De La Cruz) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 28-48. Taking the hill against the Braves will be the right-hander Anderson. They sport a 31-43 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after seven innings, Milwaukee is 21-27, while Atlanta is 15-26.
The Braves managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 27-27 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 7-47. The Brewers have an 8-51 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 72 this season. Milwaukee ranks 21st with 119 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.15 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 with 8.35.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.669). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .726.
When the Braves allow at least one home run, they are 18-54. When the Brewers allow one or more homers, they have a 29-46 record.
