Bartolo Colon (10-6, 3.46 ERA) and Robbie Ray (5-11, 4.83 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the New York Mets (57-55) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (46-66) at Citi Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 5-3, and Arizona leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and can be seen on FSAZ and SNY.
Colon pitched 6.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run and striking out one in a 4-1 win over the Yankees. Jay Bruce (.259, 63 Rs, 27 HRs, 84 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Ray went 6.0 innings, surrendering six runs (one unearned), striking out nine and walking two in a 10-4 defeat to the Nationals in his last outing. Paul Goldschmidt (.295, 66 Rs, 18 HRs, 72 RBIs, 14 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
New York is a -155 favorite against Arizona and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have an overall money line of -1,040 and a record as the favorite of 42-34. New York’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 4.5 runs per game, well above its season average of 3.6. The Mets are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.6 walks per game so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mets, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.4.
In the other locker room, Arizona is coming in with an overall money line of -2,045 and a disappointing record of 23-42 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-6 record and a 3-7 record SU. The Diamondbacks allow 5.5 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 8.3 runs per game during that span.
The Diamondbacks have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Mets have a 13-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Ray takes the mound. Colon (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 31-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
The Mets are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 13 strikeouts. The Diamondbacks have a record of 8-8 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 8-48. The Mets have an 18-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Arizona ranks in the bottom half of the league at 17th when it comes to home runs, hitting 128 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 with 147.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.93 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.13.
Ranking 22nd, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.716). Arizona ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .750.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 22-55, well-matched with the Mets who are 24-38 when allowing at least one homer.
