Scott Kazmir (9-5, 4.51 ERA) and Jeremy Hellickson (9-7, 3.72 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (64-49) and the Philadelphia Phillies (52-63) at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers won the last game 9-3, and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 3:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and can be seen on CSPh and SNLA.
Kazmir pitched 5.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out two and walking four in a 9-0 defeat to the Red Sox. Corey Seager (.303, 73 Rs, 21 HRs, 55 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one RBI. Hellickson went 6.2 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking two in a 5-4 win over the Padres in his last outing. Maikel Franco (.252, 46 Rs, 20 HRs, 66 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
This one isn’t expected to be close when Los Angeles, a big -180 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. The Dodgers have recorded an overall money line of +63 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 57-30. Los Angeles’s batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 7.3 per game. Opposing batters know they’re in for a battle when they play Los Angeles. The Dodgers are one of the top teams when it comes to pitching, allowing just 3.8 runs per game. The Dodgers are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.134 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Philadelphia has a 35-50 record and an overall money line of +282. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 5.5 during that stretch.
The Dodgers have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Dodgers have a 50-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Hellickson takes the mound. Kazmir (LHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 12-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers’s last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers’s last 6 games at home.
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers’s last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
The Dodgers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 21-45 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
It looks like the Dodgers have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Dodgers have won their last four games while the Phillies have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Dodgers are 48-13. The Phillies have a 35-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 425 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top half with 502.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 282 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 376.
When the Dodgers hit at least one home run, they are 48-26. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 43-33 record.
