In a game that could be a shootout, Cody Reed (0-6, 6.36 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (48-67) are in Milwaukee to square off against Wily Peralta (4-8, 6.38 ERA) and the Brewers (51-64). This is the last of a three-game series at Miller Park. The Reds won the last game 11-5, and Cincinnati leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 14 and can be seen on FSWI and FSOH.
Peralta pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking three in a 2-1 defeat to the Braves. Ryan Braun (.323, 58 Rs, 20 HRs, 59 RBIs, 13 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Reed went 6.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-4 defeat to the Cardinals in his most recent start. Adam Duvall (.247, 64 Rs, 27 HRs, 76 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Milwaukee is a slim -112 favorite at home against Cincinnati. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of nine runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -666 and a record as the favorite of 18-17. Milwaukee is a disappointing 2-5 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Milwaukee leads the MLB in steals, swiping 124 bases. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.0 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.7.
Over in the other dugout, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -659 and a disappointing record of 32-61 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 17-26 record against NL Central opponents, and a 5-5 record SU. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 106 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB. The Reds allow 5.4 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.7 runs per game during that span.
The Reds lead the season series, 7-5. The Brewers have a 21-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Reed takes the mound. Peralta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 40-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL, O/U – Over
Notes
For the 24th time this season, the Brewers registered at least two errors in a game.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Reds have a 12-27 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Reds have won their last two games while the Brewers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 36-10. The Brewers have a 42-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 474 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 508.
Ranking 26th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 317 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at third with 435.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 40-31. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 36-37 record.
