In the last of a four-game series between the San Diego Padres (52-71) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (51-72) at Petco Park, Luis Perdomo (5-7, 6.68 ERA) and Braden Shipley (2-2, 4.30 ERA) get the start. The Diamondbacks won the last game 2-1, and San Diego leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 4:40 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 21 and will air on FSAZ and FSSD.
In his last start, Perdomo pitched 5.2 innings, giving up three runs, striking out five and walking three in an 8-2 loss to the Rays. The Diamondbacks were unsuccessful against the Mets 7-5 the last time Shipley pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing seven runs (one unearned) and walking one.
San Diego is a small +105 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Padres perform poorly as an underdog with a 39-63 record and have an overall money line of -25. They have not performed well against their division, earning a SU record of 21-27 and a 17-26 record when they were the underdog. The Padres are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 102 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Across the field, the Diamondbacks have a record of 24-25 when they are favored and are -2,063 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 20-30 SU and have played poorly as the favorite with an 8-13 record. During the last 10 games, they averaged 6.1 runs per game, above their 4.6 season average. Arizona is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.3 hits per contest. The Diamondbacks have racked up 100 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Switching gears to Arizona’s pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 8.0 strikeouts per road game.
The Padres will take on a right-hander (Shipley) in this game and have a 37-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Perdomo will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 34-56 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
The Diamondbacks won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Padres are 14-25. The Diamondbacks are 15-12 in close games this season.
Arizona has won 39% (24-37) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, San Diego has won 44% (22-28) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Diamondbacks are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 15 strikeouts. The Padres have a record of 1-5 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 38-15. The Padres have a 38-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 535 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 13th with 560.
Both San Diego and Arizona are tied at 20th in walks with a total of 351 this season.
The Padres are 43-37 when they hit at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 42-40 record.
