Kenta Maeda (12-7, 3.29 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (69-55) take on Madison Bumgarner (12-7, 2.25 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (68-56) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 23 and can be seen on CSBA and SNLA.
Maeda pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out nine and walking one in a 15-5 win over the Phillies. Corey Seager (.321, 83 Rs, 22 HRs, 61 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 4 for 5 with three runs, one home run, and three RBIs. Bumgarner went 5.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out six and walking three in a 10-7 win over the Mets in his most recent start. Angel Pagan (.299, 53 Rs, 8 HRs, 40 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 2 Sunday.
Los Angeles is a slim -114 favorite at home against San Francisco. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at six runs for this matchup. Though the Dodgers have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-456), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 62-36. Los Angeles has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 26-14 and 26-21 records as the favorite and SU, respectively. The Dodgers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.6 runs per game. Los Angeles’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.0. The Dodgers are the third-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.186 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, San Francisco has an 18-25 record and an overall money line of -275. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-2 record when playing as the underdog. The Giants allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fifth in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Giants are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.232 for the season.
The Giants lead the season series, 6-4. The Dodgers have a 14-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Bumgarner takes the mound. Maeda (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 44-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
San Francisco has won 54% (25-21) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Los Angeles has won 56% (27-21) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants didn’t score any runs in their last game. The Dodgers have an 11-0 record when they don’t allow any runs.
When they are outhit, the Dodgers are 12-39. The Giants have a 12-38 record when opponents outhit them.
San Francisco ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 101 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top half with 150.
Ranking ninth, Los Angeles is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.53 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.98.
Ranking 17th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.738). Los Angeles ranks in the top half with an OPS of .740.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 31-45, well-matched with the Dodgers who are 32-43 when allowing at least one homer.