In the second of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-75) and the Cincinnati Reds (54-73) at Chase Field, Zack Godley (4-2, 5.53 ERA) and Anthony DeSclafani (7-2, 3.27 ERA) take the mound. The Diamondbacks won the last game 4-3, and Arizona leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 27 and will air on FSAZ and FSOH.
In his last start, Godley pitched 5.0 innings, giving up seven runs, striking out three and walking three in a 9-8 victory over the Braves. Paul Goldschmidt (.305, 86 Rs, 20 HRs, 78 RBIs, 21 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one stolen base. The Reds were unsuccessful the last time DeSclafani pitched. He struggled, going 7.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out six and walking one in a 4-0 loss to the Dodgers. Adam Duvall (.244, 70 Rs, 28 HRs, 82 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Arizona is a slight +100 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. The Diamondbacks perform poorly as an underdog with a 26-48 record and have an overall money line of -2,146. With a 0-3 record as the underdog, they have had a tough time over their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Diamondbacks rank fifth in the majors in extra base hits with 427. The Diamondbacks are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 104 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Switching to the opposing dugout, the Reds come into this game in an interesting position. They have a negative money line (-384) but have won more than 60 percent of games played as the favorite (18-6). Over the last 10 games, the team is unbeaten as the favorite with a perfect 2-0 record and 6-4 SU. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, ranking second in the MLB with 112 stolen bases.
This game will feature DeSclafani (RHP) on the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 36-59 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Godley. They sport a 44-53 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona’s last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona’s last 10 games at home.
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing Cincinnati.
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
Arizona is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
Arizona has won 40% (26-39) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Cincinnati has won 47% (30-34) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Reds managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are heading in with a 15-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 40-15. The Reds have a 40-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th in runs, Cincinnati has earned 568 this season. Arizona ranks 12th with 589 runs.
Arizona and Cincinnati both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Arizona sits at 22nd with 366 this season and Cincinnati ranks 21st with 368.
When the Diamondbacks hit at least one home run, they are 45-40, well-matched with the Reds who are 40-39 when hitting one or more homers.
