Jake Peavy (5-9, 5.55 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (70-58) go up against Mike Foltynewicz (6-5, 4.55 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (47-82) in the second of a three-game series at AT&T Park. The Giants won the last game 7-0, and San Francisco leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 9:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 27 and will air on CSBA and FSSO.
In his last start, Peavy pitched 2.0 innings, giving up five runs and striking out four in a 9-5 loss to the Mets. Brandon Belt (.276, 61 Rs, 14 HRs, 65 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and two RBIs. The Braves were also unsuccessful the last time Foltynewicz pitched. He struggled, going 6.0 innings, allowing four runs and striking out seven in a 9-8 loss to the Diamondbacks. Freddie Freeman (.290, 76 Rs, 26 HRs, 62 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Braves, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
San Francisco is a -170 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Giants are in an interesting position this season. While they have a notable winning record in games where they’re the favorite (50-32), their overall money line (-397) is less impressive. They are 2-5 as the favorite over their last 10 games. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the NL with an average of 3.6 walks per game. As for the San Francisco defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Giants, who allow only 4.1 runs per game. The Giants don’t allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.228 WHIP.
On the other side, the Braves have a subpar record of 44-70 when they are the underdog and are -896 overall with the money line. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.6 runs per game, above their 3.7 season average. The Braves average just 7.6 strikeouts per road game, one of the lowest marks in the NL. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Atlanta pitchers. They allowed 7.0 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.9.
In their previous five games this season, the Giants have a 3-2 record. This game will feature Foltynewicz (RHP) on the mound against the Giants, who have a 45-42 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Peavy will take the mound against the Braves, who have a 33-54 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over
Notes
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco’s last 10 games at home.
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home.
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
San Francisco is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
For the 25th time this season, the Braves registered at least two errors in a game.
The San Francisco batters brought in a solid 10 hits last game. Atlanta has a record of 7-44 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 7-57. The Giants have a 12-39 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 89 this season. San Francisco ranks near the bottom with 104.
Ranking 10th, Atlanta is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.42 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.95.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.682). San Francisco ranks in the bottom half at 17th with an OPS of .735.
When the Braves allow at least one home run, they are 20-63. When the Giants allow one or more homers, they have a 31-47 record.
