In a game that has the potential for a lot of runs, Adam Wainwright (9-8, 4.67 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (69-61) are in Milwaukee to take on Wily Peralta (5-9, 5.87 ERA) and the Brewers (56-75). This is the second of a three-game series at Miller Park. The Brewers lost the last game 6-5, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 30 and can be seen on FSMW and FSWI.
Peralta pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking three in a 3-2 defeat to the Pirates. Ryan Braun (.313, 67 Rs, 24 HRs, 74 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Wainwright went 5.0 innings, surrendering seven runs (five unearned), striking out three and walking two in a 10-6 defeat to the Mets in his most recent start. Matt Carpenter (.287, 68 Rs, 17 HRs, 58 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
St. Louis takes on Milwaukee as a -147 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at nine runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,091 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 36-57. Milwaukee has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 13-28 and 17-33 as the underdog and SU respectively. Milwaukee leads the MLB in steals, swiping 147 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, St. Louis has a 47-41 record and an overall money line of -482. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 20-14 record against NL Central rivals, and a 28-22 record SU. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Cardinals are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.9 hits per game. St. Louis is excellent at making contact with just 8.1 strikeouts per game, ranking fifth in the NL.
The Cardinals have controlled the season series, 10-3. The Brewers have a bad 32-58 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Wainwright takes the mound. Peralta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a 50-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – STL, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Cardinals won by a margin of one run. The Brewers are 17-25 in one-run games. The Cardinals have a 19-19 record in close games.
When leading after seven innings, St. Louis is 32-25, while Milwaukee is 23-32.
The Cardinals managed to give up six walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 13-18 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 44-9. The Cardinals have a 48-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 538 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top five at fourth with 647.
Ranking eighth, St. Louis is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 434 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at second with 506.
The Brewers are 44-39 when they hit at least one home run. The Cardinals perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 57-40 record.
