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Boise State Broncos at Oregon Ducks ATS Preview 12/01/17

The Oregon Ducks (5-2) meet the Boise State Broncos (6-1) at Matthew Knight Arena. The game starts at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 1, 2017, and will air on Pac-12 Network.

Oregon opened as a 7-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 145.5 points.

Boise State Broncos vs. Oregon Ducks Free Prediction

The Broncos come in on a high note after thoroughly outplaying the Loyola Chicago Ramblers in their last game, 87-53. Boise State’s 25.9 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Loyola Chicago, who had a rate of 8.1. The Broncos’ mark was below their season average of 28.8, while the Ramblers’ was below their season average of 26.4. Christian Sengfelder had a good game for Boise State, recording 10 points and 12 rebounds.

The last time the Ducks played, they fell to the Oklahoma Sooners, 90-80. One of Oklahoma’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They made 44 trips to the line, while Oregon went just 14 times. With 17 points on 6-for-12 shooting, Paul White led Oregon in scoring.

This matchup pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesSince the 2016-17 season, Oregon ranks 17th in effective field goal percentage (0.555), while Boise State is 40th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.469).

Boise State holds records of 6-1 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). Of the Broncos’ 6 games with betting action, four have finished under the total.

Meanwhile, Oregon owns records of 5-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Unlike Boise State, Ducks games have typically gone over the projected point total (80.0 percent).

The Ducks won the sole game against the Broncos last season, 68-63. The Ducks had a much better free throw rate (0.360 vs. 0.179) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.3 vs. 25.0).

Boise State Broncos at Oregon Ducks Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes (2016-Present):

Oregon ranks second in blocks per game (6.3) while Boise State ranks 249th in blocks allowed per game (4.4).

The Broncos rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (17.7) while the Ducks rank 224th (22.5).

Oregon ranks 35th in assists per game (15.9) while Boise State ranks 231st (12.5).

The Ducks rank 122nd in steals per game (6.5) while the Broncos rank 261st (5.1).

Oregon ranks 39th in rebounds allowed per game (32.4) while Boise State ranks 64th (33.2).

Written by GMS Previews

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