A shootout should be expected when the Indiana Hoosiers (4-4, 0-1 Big 10) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (3-2, 0-1 Big 10) face off at Assembly Hall. The game gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 4, 2017.
Indiana opened as a 4.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 151 points.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Free Prediction
The Hawkeyes are hoping for a better outcome after their 77-73 loss to the Penn State Nittany Lions in their last matchup. Penn State’s 16.9 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Iowa, who had a rate of 21.9. The Nittany Lions’ mark was worse than their season average of 16.5, while the Hawkeyes’ was above their season average of 15.8. Tyler Cook was the top scorer from either team with 23 points on 7-for-13 shooting.
The last time the Hoosiers played, they were beaten by the Michigan Wolverines, 69-55. Michigan’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Indiana. The Wolverines had a rate of 0.573 (above their season average of 0.571), while the Hoosiers posted a mark of 0.418 (below their season average of 0.561). Indiana’s Juwan Morgan put together a good game, leading both teams in scoring with 24 points on 9-for-14 shooting.
The offensive glass could be a huge advantage for Indiana in this battle. Dating back to the 2016-17 season, the Hoosiers rank 23rd in offensive rebounding percentage (35.7 percent), while Iowa ranks 312th in defensive rebounding percentage (67.9 percent).
Iowa has a respectable 3-2 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hawkeyes’ 5 games, three have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Indiana is 4-4 SU and 2-5-1 ATS. Unlike Iowa, Hoosiers games have a tendency to go over the O/U total (75.0 percent).
These two teams split two games last season. The Hoosiers won the last contest 95-73. The Hoosiers had a much better free throw rate (0.224 vs. 0.092) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.707 vs. 0.515).
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indiana, ATS Winner – Iowa, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
Indiana ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (31.8) while Iowa ranks 275th (37.7).
The Hoosiers rank 96th in assists allowed per game (12.3) while the Hawkeyes rank 308th (16.9).
Indiana ranks 138th in three pointers allowed per game (20.8) while Iowa ranks 279th (23.5).
The Hoosiers average 4.7 blocks per game, which ranks 39th in the nation. The Hawkeyes rank 177th in blocks allowed per game (3.5).
Iowa ranks 51st in steals per game (7.4) while Indiana ranks 170th in steals allowed per game (6.3).
